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工业硅、多晶硅日评:“反内卷”情绪推动,硅系价格走势坚挺-20250708
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-07-08 07:22
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the document. 2. Core Viewpoints - The "anti-involution" sentiment drives the price of silicon-based products to remain firm. The industrial silicon and polysilicon futures prices show an upward trend, and the short - term prices may continue to be strong, but there are still pressures in the medium - to - long - term [1]. - For industrial silicon, the supply may be less than expected, and the demand from polysilicon may increase due to potential restarts. The price rebounds from a low level, and short - term operations are recommended. In the long - term, the selling pressure on the upper side of the market may stimulate the resumption of production in the southwest region [1]. - For polysilicon, under the influence of supply - side reform expectations and market sentiment, the price may continue to be strong in the short - term. However, considering the limited improvement in fundamentals, price fluctuations may intensify, and short - term operations are also recommended [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Price Data - **Industrial Silicon Spot Prices**: The average price of non - oxygen - blown 553 in different regions (East China, Huangpu Port, Tianjin Port, Kunming, Sichuan) remained unchanged at 8,150 - 8,500 yuan/ton; the average price of oxygen - blown 553 in different regions (East China, Huangpu Port, Tianjin Port, Kunming) remained unchanged at 8,600 - 8,750 yuan/ton; the average price of 421 in different regions (East China, Huangpu Port, Tianjin Port, Kunming, Sichuan) was 8,950 - 9,900 yuan/ton, with the price in Sichuan down 1.05% [1]. - **Industrial Silicon Futures Price**: The closing price of the main futures contract was 8,045 yuan/ton, up 0.81% [1]. - **Polysilicon Spot Prices**: N - type dense material was 34.5 yuan/kg, polysilicon re - feedstock was 32.5 yuan/kg, polysilicon dense material was 31.0 yuan/kg, and polysilicon cauliflower material was 29.5 yuan/kg, all remaining unchanged [1]. - **Polysilicon Futures Price**: The closing price of the main futures contract was 36,515 yuan/ton, up 2.83% [1]. - **Silicon Wafer Prices**: N - type 210mm, N - type 210R, N - type 183mm, P - type 210mm, and P - type 182mm prices remained unchanged [1]. - **Battery Chip Prices**: The price of single - crystal PERC battery chips M10 - 182mm remained unchanged at 0.27 yuan/watt [1]. - **Component Prices**: The prices of single - crystal PERC components (single - sided 182mm, single - sided 210mm, double - sided 182mm, double - sided 210mm) remained unchanged [1]. - **Organic Silicon Prices**: DMC was 10,450 yuan/ton, organic silicon was 11,150 yuan/ton, and silicone oil was 13,000 yuan/ton, all remaining unchanged [1]. 3.2 Industry News - Hubei Dude obtained a patent for a "convenient photovoltaic silicon wafer testing device" on July 5, which can improve the efficiency of silicon wafer thickness detection by over 30%, and is beneficial to the quality control of thin - slice silicon wafers and the improvement of the mass - production yield of TOPCon batteries [1]. - Some leading polysilicon manufacturers raised the quotation of dense/re - feedstock to 37 yuan/kg yesterday, mainly due to the recent anti - involution policy and industry self - discipline [1]. 3.3 Investment Strategies - **Industrial Silicon**: In the short - term, the price may continue to be strongly sorted. It is recommended to focus on short - term operations. In the medium - to - long - term, the selling pressure on the upper side of the market may stimulate the resumption of production in the southwest region, and continuous attention should be paid to the actual production dynamics of silicon enterprises [1]. - **Polysilicon**: In the short - term, the price may continue to be strong, but price fluctuations may intensify. It is recommended to focus on short - term operations, and continuous attention should be paid to the actual start - up of the upstream and downstream of the industrial chain and the implementation of supply - side reform [1].