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格力电器(000651):2025Q3收入端阶段性承压,盈利能力保持韧性
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-11-07 00:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Gree Electric Appliances is "Buy" with a 6-month outlook maintained [5]. Core Views - Gree Electric Appliances reported a revenue of 39.86 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 15.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.049 billion yuan, down 9.9% [1]. - The company is experiencing pressure in its air conditioning business, particularly in the central air conditioning segment, which saw a decline in sales due to decreased real estate activity [2]. - Gree is diversifying its product offerings to align with market trends towards health, comfort, energy efficiency, and smart appliances, including innovations in washing machines and refrigerators [3]. - Despite challenges, Gree's gross margin for Q3 2025 was 28.3%, with a net profit margin of 17.7%, indicating resilience in profitability [4]. Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, Gree achieved a total revenue of 137.18 billion yuan, down 6.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 21.46 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.3% [1]. - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025 to 30.37 billion yuan, reflecting a cautious outlook amid market conditions [4]. - Key financial metrics for 2023 to 2027 include projected revenues decreasing from 205.02 billion yuan in 2023 to 178.18 billion yuan in 2025, with a gradual recovery expected thereafter [10].