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法巴证券汽车零部件 “攻守” 图谱:两家具壁垒,两家等催化
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-16 09:29
Core Viewpoint - BNP Paribas Exane Research has a cautious outlook on the Chinese automotive parts industry for 2025, primarily due to concerns about weak demand in the second half of the year [2] Group 1: Industry Overview - Investor discussions focused on the impact of ongoing price pressures on Chinese automotive parts companies and the long-term growth potential in overseas markets [1] - Most investors share a short-term cautious view on the industry, aligning with BNP Paribas' perspective [2] - There is a notable interest in the potential for Chinese automotive parts companies to penetrate global supply chains, despite limited short-term revenue contributions [3] Group 2: Company Ratings and Valuations - Fuyao Glass Industry Group has a rating of "Outperform" with a target price of 76 CNY for A-shares and 75 HKD for H-shares, supported by its market leadership and broad customer base [10][11] - Xingyu has been rated "Outperform" with a target price of 183 CNY, attributed to its shift in customer structure and technology upgrades [5][6] - Ningbo Tuopu Group is rated "Neutral" with a target price of 50 CNY, facing pressure on margins and capital expenditures amid intense competition [14] - Zhejiang Sanhua is rated "Neutral" with a target price of 26 CNY, with expectations of demand slowdown and price pressure due to competition among OEMs [19][20] Group 3: Key Valuation Metrics - Fuyao Glass: Market cap of 136.318 billion CNY, P/E of 14.9x for CY25e, EV/EBITA of 14.0x for CY25e [4] - Xingyu: Market cap of 39.767 billion CNY, P/E of 22.2x for CY25e, EV/EBITA of 17.9x for CY25e [4] - Ningbo Tuopu: Market cap of 83.677 billion CNY, P/E of 25.8x for CY25e, EV/EBITA of 23.5x for CY25e [4] - Zhejiang Sanhua: Market cap of 96.721 billion CNY, P/E of 26.7x for CY25e, EV/EBITA of 22.5x for CY25e [4]