Core Viewpoint - BNP Paribas Exane Research has a cautious outlook on the Chinese automotive parts industry for 2025, primarily due to concerns about weak demand in the second half of the year [2] Group 1: Industry Overview - Investor discussions focused on the impact of ongoing price pressures on Chinese automotive parts companies and the long-term growth potential in overseas markets [1] - Most investors share a short-term cautious view on the industry, aligning with BNP Paribas' perspective [2] - There is a notable interest in the potential for Chinese automotive parts companies to penetrate global supply chains, despite limited short-term revenue contributions [3] Group 2: Company Ratings and Valuations - Fuyao Glass Industry Group has a rating of "Outperform" with a target price of 76 CNY for A-shares and 75 HKD for H-shares, supported by its market leadership and broad customer base [10][11] - Xingyu has been rated "Outperform" with a target price of 183 CNY, attributed to its shift in customer structure and technology upgrades [5][6] - Ningbo Tuopu Group is rated "Neutral" with a target price of 50 CNY, facing pressure on margins and capital expenditures amid intense competition [14] - Zhejiang Sanhua is rated "Neutral" with a target price of 26 CNY, with expectations of demand slowdown and price pressure due to competition among OEMs [19][20] Group 3: Key Valuation Metrics - Fuyao Glass: Market cap of 136.318 billion CNY, P/E of 14.9x for CY25e, EV/EBITA of 14.0x for CY25e [4] - Xingyu: Market cap of 39.767 billion CNY, P/E of 22.2x for CY25e, EV/EBITA of 17.9x for CY25e [4] - Ningbo Tuopu: Market cap of 83.677 billion CNY, P/E of 25.8x for CY25e, EV/EBITA of 23.5x for CY25e [4] - Zhejiang Sanhua: Market cap of 96.721 billion CNY, P/E of 26.7x for CY25e, EV/EBITA of 22.5x for CY25e [4]

Core Viewpoint - Jiangsu Zhejing Automotive Electronics Co., Ltd. (Zhejing Electronics) is heavily reliant on a single customer, likely NIO, and is struggling with continuous losses while pursuing a Hong Kong IPO [1][2]. Company Overview - Zhejing Electronics, established in 2015, focuses on Head-Up Display (HUD) products, including Augmented Reality Head-Up Display (AR-HUD) solutions, and is recognized as a leading supplier of in-car visual solutions in China [2]. - The company has established operations in multiple regions across China, including headquarters in Yizheng, a manufacturing center, and various support centers [2]. Financial Performance - Zhejing Electronics reported revenues of RMB 214 million in 2022, increasing to RMB 550 million in 2023, and projected to reach RMB 577 million in 2024, although growth is slowing [4]. - The company has incurred losses of RMB 256 million, RMB 174 million, and RMB 138 million for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively [4][6]. - Operating cash flow was negative in 2022 and 2023, with a slight positive cash flow of RMB 29.2 million expected in 2024 [4]. Customer Dependency - Zhejing Electronics' revenue is significantly dependent on a major customer, likely NIO, which accounted for 47.6% of total revenue in 2022, decreasing to 26.1% in 2023 and projected to be 23.2% in 2024 [2][4]. - The company’s revenues from its top five customers represented 93.0%, 93.8%, and 80.9% of total revenue for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively [2]. Industry Competition - The Chinese HUD solutions market has seen a shift where domestic manufacturers have increased their market share from approximately 16.7% in 2020 to 79.2% in 2024, indicating a significant rise in local competition [7][10]. - Zhejing Electronics ranks second among Chinese HUD suppliers with a market share of approximately 16.2% in 2024 [7][10]. Market Dynamics - The relationship between midstream suppliers like Zhejing Electronics and downstream automakers has evolved from a traditional supply-demand model to a collaborative co-creation model, enhancing product compatibility and production efficiency [3]. - The automotive industry is characterized by intense competition, with automakers exerting strong bargaining power over suppliers, which may lead to pricing pressures [5]. Future Outlook - The future application of AR-HUD technology and the impact of advancements in artificial intelligence on smart cockpit products remain uncertain, posing potential challenges for Zhejing Electronics [1][5].