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稳健医疗(300888):全棉时代品类与渠道双向发力
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-10-29 08:46
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6][18]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.6 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 28%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 240 million yuan, up 42% year-on-year [1]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 7.9 billion yuan, reflecting a 30% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 730 million yuan, an increase of 32% year-on-year [1]. - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 48.3%, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin also improved by 0.2 percentage points to 9.3% [1]. - The medical segment saw a revenue of 3.8 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a significant increase of 44% year-on-year, with notable growth in key product categories [2]. - The consumer segment generated 4 billion yuan in revenue during the same period, marking a 19% year-on-year increase, driven by strong performance in e-commerce channels [3]. Financial Performance Summary - The company adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 11.2 billion, 13.2 billion, and 15 billion yuan respectively, with net profits projected at 1.04 billion, 1.23 billion, and 1.46 billion yuan [5]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.79, 2.12, and 2.50 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 22, 19, and 16 times [5]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on enhancing brand and channel development, with successful marketing campaigns and the opening of flagship stores to boost brand image and customer loyalty [4]. - The overseas market is becoming increasingly important, with foreign sales channels generating 2.18 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 81.7%, and accounting for 57% of the medical segment's revenue [2].