万联证券发布研报称，美护行业建议关注：1)医美：中长期我国医美行业渗透率有望持续提升，看好产 品附加值高、管线丰富、布局高成长性细分赛道的合规医美龙头公司；2)化妆品：近年不少国货品牌凭 借出众的产品力、营销能力取得亮眼增长。年轻一代消费者对于国货美妆品牌的接受度提高，国货品牌 有望实现市占率进一步提升，建议关注强研发、产品力和营销能力优秀的国货化妆品龙头公司。3)个护 用品：大健康理念普及下，消费者对个人健康和护理愈发重视，同时细分领域不断扩大。建议关注产品 矩阵丰富、研发能力强的个护用品龙头公司。 万联证券主要观点如下： 事件 截至2026年2月13日，美容护理行业共计31家A股公司，已有13家发布业绩预告，行业披露率为42%， 在消费八大行业中位列第8；行业预盈率为69%，在消费八大行业中排行第1。子板块表现较为稳定，其 中，个护板块预盈率较高，化妆品板块预盈率过半、医疗美容板块预盈率为半数。 美护业绩表现居首，预盈率近七成 截至2026年2月13日，美容护理行业共计31家A股公司，已有13家发布业绩预告，行业披露率为42%， 在消费八大行业中位列第8；行业预盈率为69%，在消费八大行业中排行第1。分具 ...

从券商推荐家数来看，2月25日有21家上市公司得到券商推荐，其中苏泊尔获得3家推荐，誉衡药业、渤海租赁等获得1家推荐。 越声投研数据显示，2月25日，券商给予上市公司目标价共7次，按最新收盘价计算，目标价涨幅排名居前的公司有士兰微、苏泊尔、稳健医疗，目标价涨幅 分别为38.50%、34.84%、31.73%，分别属于半导体、小家电、个护用品行业。 | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | 机构 | 最新评级 | 最高目标价 | 目标涨幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | (元) | (%) | | 600460 | 士兰微 | 群益证券(香港) | 买进 | 45.00 | 38.50 | | 002032 | 苏泊尔 | 中国国际金融 | 跑赢行业 | 60.45 | 34.84 | | 300888 | 稳健医疗 | 国投证券 | 买人 | 46.75 | 31.73 | | 002156 | 通富微电 | 群益证券(香港) | 买进 | 65.00 | 28.66 | | 002032 | 苏泊尔 | 中信证券 | 买入 | 57.00 | 27. ...

| | 02月25日券商推荐家数排名 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | 收盘价(元) | 评级券商数量 | 行业 | | 002032 | 苏泊尔 | 44.83 | 3 | 小家电 | | | 日期：02月25日，越声投研×21快讯制图 | | | | 首次覆盖方面，2月25日券商共给出了8次首次覆盖，其中宏川智慧（002930）获得华源证券给予"买入"评级，润本股份（603193）获得东莞证券给予"买 入"评级，前沿生物获得长江证券给予"买入"评级，中天科技（600522）获得中邮证券给予"买入"评级，永臻股份（603381）获得招商证券给予"增持"评 级。 越声投研数据显示，2月25日，券商给予上市公司目标价共7次，按最新收盘价计算，目标价涨幅排名居前的公司有士兰微（600460）、苏泊尔（002032）、 稳健医疗（300888），目标价涨幅分别为38.50%、34.84%、31.73%，分别属于半导体、小家电、个护用品行业。 | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | 机构 | 最新评级 | 最高目标价 | 目标涨幅 | | --- ...

Group 1: Company Overview - The report focuses on Dengkang Oral Care (001328.SZ), a state-owned enterprise established in 2001, primarily producing oral hygiene products such as toothpaste, toothbrushes, and mouthwash [4] - The company aims to double its revenue and profit during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.6% for revenue and 20.6% for net profit from 2019 to 2024 [4] - Adult toothpaste constitutes approximately 80% of the company's revenue, which is the main driver of recent growth [4] Group 2: Industry Analysis - The toothpaste market in China is the largest segment of the oral care industry, with a market size of approximately 30 billion yuan in 2023 [5] - The market is characterized by intense competition, with established brands dominating offline channels, while new brands are emerging in the e-commerce space [5] - Price sensitivity among consumers is low, and there has been a gradual increase in toothpaste prices since 2013, with a shift towards higher-priced functional products [5] Group 3: Competitive Advantages - Dengkang Oral Care has established competitive barriers through brand strength, research and development capabilities, and distribution channels [6] - The brand "Ling Suan Ling" has maintained vitality and is undergoing a transformation towards professionalization and modernization [6] - The company has a strong offline distribution network and is rapidly expanding its online presence, with e-commerce revenue expected to grow by 52% year-on-year in 2024 [6] Group 4: Growth Potential - There is significant room for product structure optimization, with the company introducing high-end products that enhance its product range [7] - The average factory price of products has increased from 2.63 yuan/100g to 3.30 yuan/100g from 2019 to 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 4.6% [7] - The company has successfully implemented a mature strategy for its flagship products on platforms like Douyin, indicating strong consumer demand and brand recognition [7] Group 5: Market Expansion Opportunities - The company is expanding into the whitening and gum care segments, which have larger market sizes compared to sensitivity products, with potential revenue increases of 3.9 billion yuan and 4.76 billion yuan, respectively [8] - The market for gum care and whitening toothpaste is estimated at 8.523 billion yuan and 7.061 billion yuan, respectively, indicating substantial growth opportunities [8] Group 6: Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for Dengkang Oral Care are estimated to reach 1.747 billion yuan, 2.105 billion yuan, and 2.506 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with net profits expected to be 177 million yuan, 221 million yuan, and 271 million yuan for the same period [9] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected to be 42X, 33X, and 27X for 2025-2027, reflecting the company's growing brand influence and successful product optimization [9]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage in the market [5][8]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading player in the African hygiene products market, with a strong local competitive advantage [5][10]. - The company focuses on developing, manufacturing, and selling baby diapers, baby pull-ups, sanitary napkins, and wet wipes, catering to diverse market needs [7][14]. - The report highlights the company's robust growth trajectory, with projected revenue and net profit increases over the next few years [8][47]. Financial Performance - As of February 12, 2026, the closing price is HKD 31.26, with a market capitalization of HKD 19,366.09 million [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are USD 540.43 million, USD 635.51 million, and USD 738.25 million, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 19%, 18%, and 16% [8][47]. - The net profit estimates for the same period are USD 109.83 million, USD 139.94 million, and USD 165.50 million, with growth rates of 15%, 27%, and 18% [8][47]. Market Position - The company holds the top market share in the African baby diaper and sanitary napkin markets, with respective shares of 20.3% and 15.6% based on 2024 sales volume [7][14]. - The company has established a comprehensive distribution network across 12 countries, reaching over 80% of the local population in key markets [42]. Product Strategy - The company employs a multi-brand strategy to cater to various consumer segments, with five major brands targeting different market tiers [26][32]. - The product lines include a total of 341 SKUs, with a focus on continuous product iteration to meet diverse consumer needs [26][32]. Supply Chain and Production - The company has built a robust global supply chain with localized production facilities in eight African countries, enhancing cost efficiency [36][42]. - As of April 30, 2025, the company operates 51 production lines across its facilities, with a total designed capacity for various hygiene products [36][42]. Growth Potential - The report anticipates significant growth in the baby diaper and sanitary napkin segments, driven by increasing birth rates and rising market penetration in Africa [9][47]. - The company is expected to maintain a competitive edge due to its established market presence and strong distribution capabilities [10][50].

Core Viewpoint - The recovery of prices is identified as the most critical logic supporting corporate profit improvement in 2026, which may also influence market styles [1]. Price Trends and Data Analysis - The first inflation data of the year validates the momentum of price improvement, with the Producer Price Index (PPI) reaching a year-on-year high not seen since August 2024 and a month-on-month high since October 2023 [1]. - The proportion of price-increasing subcategories in the comprehensive price database has risen to a relatively high level, indicating a strong correlation with the month-on-month PPI trends [1]. - Recent price increases are characterized by a broader range and richer clues, driven by international commodity price transmission, favorable policies, and trends in the technology industry [4]. Sector-Specific Insights - The sectors with significant month-on-month PPI increases in January include non-ferrous metals, non-metallic mineral products (such as building materials), black metals, technology manufacturing, chemical fibers, and agricultural processing [4]. - The price increases in these sectors correspond with the high-frequency tracked price subcategories, indicating a robust link between input inflation and domestic price recovery [4]. Price Increase Clues - The proportion of subcategories with price increases over the past three months is at its second-highest level since 2016, only surpassed by the supply-side reform period in 2017 and the significant inflation period in 2021 [4]. - A detailed table shows various subcategories with significant price increases in January, such as oxygen pressure (62.5%), lithium concentrate (52.3%), and DRAM index (35.7%), indicating strong upward price trends across multiple sectors [6][7]. Future Outlook - The post-holiday period is seen as a critical window for validating price increases, with expectations for further price clues to emerge as the spring construction season begins and policies are implemented after the March meetings [9]. - Historical data suggests that the first quarter is typically a key period for PPI acceleration during inflation cycles, indicating a potential for sustained price increases [9]. Sector Performance Expectations - The relative performance of sectors such as TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), advanced manufacturing, and resource & infrastructure chains is expected to be strong post-Spring Festival, with higher win rates anticipated [10]. - A statistical analysis shows that industries with a positive correlation to PPI include chemicals, steel, building materials, transportation, petrochemicals, non-ferrous metals, and coal, among others [14].

Market Overview - The personal care products sector increased by 0.24% compared to the previous trading day, with Liangmianzhen leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4102.2, up by 0.85%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14156.27, up by 0.21% [1] Stock Performance - Liangmianzhen (600249) closed at 5.99, with a rise of 1.35% and a trading volume of 100,500 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 60.56 million yuan [1] - Reliable Co. (600100E) closed at 13.35, up by 1.14%, with a trading volume of 23,200 shares and a transaction value of 30.87 million yuan [1] - Zhongshun Jierou (002511) closed at 8.02, up by 1.13%, with a trading volume of 218,400 shares, totaling 174 million yuan [1] - Runben Co. (603193) closed at 23.80, up by 0.89%, with a trading volume of 19,800 shares and a transaction value of 46.86 million yuan [1] - Stable Medical (300888) closed at 35.58, up by 0.88%, with a trading volume of 32,300 shares, amounting to 114 million yuan [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The personal care products sector experienced a net outflow of 59.46 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 53.83 million yuan [2] - The main stocks with significant fund flow include Zhongshun Jierou, which had a net inflow of 12.05 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Reliable Co. had a net inflow of 1.09 million yuan from retail investors, despite a net outflow of 1.75 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [4]. Core Insights - The company, Leshu Shi, is a leading player in the African hygiene products market, specializing in baby diapers and sanitary napkins, with the highest market share in both categories. The African market benefits from a demographic dividend and low penetration rates in these product categories, indicating significant growth potential. The company's strong localization capabilities are expected to drive long-term stable growth as it expands its distribution channels and product categories in Africa and replicates its operational model in other emerging markets [5][15]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from $411 million in 2023 to $712 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.2% from 2022 to 2024. The net profit is expected to increase from $65 million in 2023 to $154 million in 2027, with a CAGR of 127.4% during the same period. The gross margin is forecasted to remain stable around 35% [8][21][25]. Product and Market Positioning - Leshu Shi has developed a multi-brand strategy with a diverse product matrix, including four major brands in the baby care segment and three in the women's care segment. The company has a total of 263 SKUs for baby diapers and 44 for sanitary napkins, catering to various local needs. The company maintains the leading sales market share in Africa for both product categories, with significant growth rates outpacing competitors [6][15]. Production and Distribution Capabilities - The company operates eight factories across eight African countries, with a focus on local production to enhance cost efficiency. It has established a deep distribution network that covers over 30 countries, reaching more than 80% of the local population. This extensive network and understanding of local markets provide a competitive edge over international brands [7][15]. Regional Performance - Revenue growth varies by region, with West Africa showing stable growth, East Africa as a high-growth area, and Central Africa experiencing rapid expansion. Latin America is emerging as a new growth engine, with revenue increasing significantly from $0.004 million in 2022 to $0.09 million in 2024 [31][35][38]. Cash Flow and Liquidity - The company has seen a substantial increase in operating cash flow, rising from $0.14 million in 2022 to $1.10 million in 2024, with a CAGR of 184.1%. Cash and cash equivalents have also grown from $0.22 million to $0.31 million during the same period, indicating improved liquidity and financial stability [42][44].

Market Overview - The personal care products sector experienced a decline of 1.23% on February 2, with Yanjiang Co., Ltd. leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4015.75, down 2.48%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13824.35, down 2.69% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the personal care sector included: - Beijiajie (603059) with a closing price of 38.70, up 3.78% on a trading volume of 80,800 shares and a transaction value of 308 million yuan [1] - Zhiya Co., Ltd. (003006) closed at 21.34, up 2.99% with a trading volume of 86,300 shares and a transaction value of 184 million yuan [1] - Dengkang Oral (001328) closed at 40.88, up 2.58% with a trading volume of 31,500 shares and a transaction value of 129 million yuan [1] - Major decliners included: - Yanjiang Co., Ltd. (300658) closed at 15.81, down 12.17% with a trading volume of 418,300 shares and a transaction value of 686 million yuan [2] - Zhongshun Jiesang (002511) closed at 7.92, down 2.82% with a trading volume of 277,300 shares and a transaction value of 223 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The personal care products sector saw a net outflow of 114 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net inflow of 28.68 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for key stocks in the sector included: - Haoyue Nursing (605009) had a net inflow of 2.75 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 2.32 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Beijiajie (603059) saw a net inflow of 2.44 million yuan from institutional investors and a net outflow of 17.41 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Yanjiang Co., Ltd. (300658) experienced a significant net outflow of 13.22 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

策略研究 · 策略专题 2025 年业绩预告有哪些线索值得关注？ 2026 年 02 月 02 日 核心观点 分析师 杨超 ：010-80927696 ：yangchao_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130522030004 王雪莹 ：（010）80927721 ：wangxueying_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130525060003 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 周美丽 ：zhoumeili_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130525070002 相关研究 2026-01-23，公募基金 2025 年四季度持仓有哪些 看点？ 2026-01-06，如何理解"非理性繁荣"下的"理性 泡沫" ？——AI 泡沫系列研究之总量篇 2025-12-28，节奏看"水"，集中靠"质"——2026 年港股市场投资展望 2025-12-11，2025 年 12 月中央经济工作会议对投 资的启示：向新向优 2025-12-08，12 月中央政 ...