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甬金股份(603995):2025年半年度报告点评:业绩环比改善明显,盈利能力有望修复
Orient Securities· 2025-08-22 02:17
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 25.87 CNY, based on a PE valuation of 13X for comparable companies [3][5]. Core Views - The company's performance has shown significant improvement on a quarter-on-quarter basis, with a gradual recovery in profitability expected. The net profit attributable to the parent company for the first half of 2025 was 313 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 29.14%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 92.63% in Q2 2025 [9]. - The company is experiencing a recovery in demand for its cold-rolled stainless steel products, with production and sales volumes increasing by 11.68% and 13.74% respectively in Q2 2025. This has led to an increase in capacity utilization and a rise in gross margin to 5.90% [9]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, with new projects underway that are expected to enhance profit margins as downstream demand gradually recovers. The company’s projects, such as the 1.2 million tons per year high-quality wide stainless steel strip project, are beginning to ramp up production [9]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 39.874 billion CNY in 2023 to 50.900 billion CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.8% [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 453 million CNY in 2023 to 948 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a significant recovery in profitability [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 1.99 CNY, 2.25 CNY, and 2.59 CNY respectively, down from previous estimates [3][4].