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钢铁周报:预期先行,钢铁继续
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-03-01 10:24
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates a positive outlook for the steel industry, suggesting that expectations are leading the market forward [1] Price Performance - The SW Steel Index has shown a year-to-date increase of 17.8% [4] - The price of rebar (HRB400 20mm) is at 3,200 CNY per ton, reflecting a 3% weekly increase and a 6% increase since the beginning of the year [4] - Hot-rolled coil prices are at 3,260 CNY per ton, with a 9% weekly increase [4] - The iron ore price index is at 99.3 USD per ton, unchanged from the previous week [4] Inventory - The total social inventory of five major steel products is 1,294,000 tons, with a weekly increase of 9.6% and a year-to-date increase of 48.4% [6] - The total inventory at steel mills is 550,000 tons, reflecting a 32.3% weekly increase and a 42.8% year-to-date increase [6] - The port inventory of iron ore stands at 17,096,000 tons, with a 0.9% weekly increase and a 7.8% year-to-date increase [6] Supply and Demand - The weekly output of five major steel products is projected to increase, with daily molten iron production expected to rise [10] - The report highlights the operational rates of blast furnaces and electric furnaces, indicating a stable production environment [13][15]
钢铁周报:继续看多钢铁权益的季度节奏-20260119
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-01-19 07:26
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic [1] Core Viewpoints - The report maintains a bullish outlook on the steel sector, emphasizing a positive quarterly rhythm for steel equities [1] Price Performance - The SW Steel Index is at 2,700, with a weekly increase of 4.0% and a year-to-date increase of 15.0% [3] - The average price of rebar (HRB400 20mm) is 3,320 CNY/ton, reflecting a weekly increase of 1.2% and no change year-to-date [3] - The iron ore price index is at 107 USD/ton, with a weekly increase of 1.7% [3] Inventory - Total social inventory of five major steel products is 865,000 tons, with a weekly increase of 0.1% and a year-to-date decrease of 8.0% [5] - Steel mill inventory stands at 381,000 tons, with a weekly increase of 2.1% and a year-to-date increase of 1.2% [5] - Port inventory of iron ore is 16,551,000 tons, with a weekly increase of 1.7% and a year-to-date increase of 4.3% [5] Supply and Demand - The weekly output of five major steel products is projected to be 900,000 tons [9] - The average daily molten iron production is expected to reach 245,000 tons [9] - The operating rate of blast furnaces across 247 mills is currently at a healthy level, indicating stable production capacity utilization [11]
钢铁周报:铁水回落盈利下滑,但权益走势受益于低估值-20251102
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-11-02 11:49
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that while iron water production has decreased and profitability has declined, equity performance benefits from low valuations [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Steel Weekly Data - The SW Steel Index increased by 2.6% week-on-week and 24.7% year-to-date [3] - The total social inventory of five major steel products is 1,076 million tons, with a year-to-date increase of 41.9% [5] - The iron ore port inventory stands at 14,539 million tons, reflecting a year-to-date decrease of 2.2% [5] Supply and Demand - The average daily pig iron production is projected to be 220 million tons in 2025 [9] - The report highlights the operational rates of blast furnaces and electric furnaces across China, indicating a steady production environment [12][14] Price Trends - The price of rebar (HRB400 20mm) is reported at 3,210 CNY per ton, with a year-to-date increase of 5.9% [3] - The iron ore price index is at 108 USD per ton, showing a week-on-week increase of 2.4% [3]