钢铁行业投资

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钢铁周报:逢低布局,迎接9月旺季-20250810
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-08-10 05:20
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic [1] Core Viewpoints - The report suggests a strategy of buying on dips in anticipation of a peak season in September [1] Price Summary - The SW Steel Index is at 2,509, with a weekly increase of 2.5% and a year-to-date increase of 19.3% [4] - The SW General Steel Index is at 2,589, with a weekly increase of 2.7% and a year-to-date increase of 24.1% [4] - The price of rebar (HRB400 20mm) is 3,330 CNY/ton, showing a weekly decrease of 0.6% and a year-to-date decrease of 2.3% [4] - The iron ore Platts index is at 102 USD/ton, with a weekly increase of 2.2% and a year-to-date increase of 1.5% [4] Inventory Summary - Total social inventory of five major steel products is 962,000 tons, with a weekly increase of 2.2% and a year-to-date increase of 26.8% [5] - Total inventory at steel mills is 413,000 tons, with a weekly increase of 0.8% and a year-to-date increase of 17.9% [5] - Port inventory of iron ore is 13,715,000 tons, with a weekly increase of 0.4% and a year-to-date increase of 7.7% [5] Supply and Demand - The report indicates a steady production level, with weekly output of five major steel products at approximately 1,000,000 tons [9] - The average daily molten iron production is projected to remain stable [9] Stock Performance - The report highlights the stock performance of several companies, with notable increases in some stocks while others have seen declines [19]
钢铁周报:权益静候旺季-20250622
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-06-22 05:38
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the steel industry is expected to enter a peak season, suggesting a favorable outlook for investments in this sector [1] Price Data Summary - The SW Steel Index is at 2,077, with a year-to-date change of +1.2% [3] - The price of rebar (HRB400 20mm) is 3,070 CNY/ton, showing a year-to-date change of +10% [3] - Hot-rolled coil is priced at 3,210 CNY/ton, with a year-to-date change of +6% [3] - Iron ore price index is at 93 USD/ton, with a year-to-date change of +7% [3] Inventory Summary - Total social inventory of five major steel products is 9,120,000 tons, with a year-to-date change of +3% [5] - Total inventory at steel mills is 4,260,000 tons, with a year-to-date change of +6% [5] - Port inventory of iron ore is 13,897,000 tons, with a year-to-date change of +5% [5] Supply and Demand Summary - Weekly production of five major steel products is projected to be around 1,000,000 tons [9] - Daily molten iron production is expected to reach approximately 230,000 tons [9] - The report highlights the operational rates of blast furnaces and electric furnaces, indicating a stable production environment [12][14]
钢铁周报:重视淡季的底部布局
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-06-02 10:23
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic [1][24]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of bottom positioning during the off-season for the steel industry [1]. - It highlights the recent trends in steel prices and inventory levels, indicating a potential for recovery [3][5]. Price Trends - The SW Steel Index is at 2,124, with a weekly decline of 0.7% and a year-to-date increase of 1.0% [3]. - The price of rebar (HRB400 20mm) is 3,130 CNY/ton, showing a weekly decrease of 0.9% and a year-to-date decline of 8.2% [3]. - Hot-rolled coil is priced at 3,160 CNY/ton, with a weekly drop of 2.5% and a year-to-date decrease of 7.6% [3]. Inventory Levels - The total social inventory of five major steel products is 9.31 million tons, reflecting a weekly decrease of 2.9% and a year-to-date increase of 22.8% [5]. - The total inventory at steel mills is 4.33 million tons, with a weekly decline of 10.1% and a year-to-date increase of 23.7% [5]. - Iron ore port inventory stands at 13.86 million tons, unchanged week-on-week but up 6.7% year-to-date [5]. Supply and Demand - The weekly output of five major steel products is projected to be stable, with daily average pig iron production expected to maintain current levels [9][12]. - The report indicates a steady demand for rebar, with apparent demand figures showing resilience [15].