Group 1 - The company emphasizes the importance of its waterproof business development, utilizing a "product + service" business model to expand its market presence [2] - The waterproof business has shown steady growth in the first half of the year [2] - The water purification business is currently undergoing continuous adjustments and optimization of its business model [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [3]. Core Views - The company's operational quality is stable and improving, with ongoing optimization of its "concentric circle" business model. Despite a decline in revenue and net profit due to weak downstream demand, the overall operational quality is on an upward trend. The retail business remains robust, and the waterproofing segment shows steady growth, while overseas operations have turned profitable [2][3]. Financial Summary - **Revenue and Profit Forecasts**: - 2023A: Revenue of 6,378 million, net profit of 1,432 million - 2024A: Revenue of 6,267 million, net profit of 953 million - 2025E: Revenue of 5,872 million, net profit of 878 million - 2026E: Revenue of 6,289 million, net profit of 963 million - 2027E: Revenue of 6,780 million, net profit of 1,079 million - Revenue growth rates are projected at -8.3% for 2023, -1.8% for 2024, -6.3% for 2025, followed by positive growth of 7.1% and 7.8% in 2026 and 2027 respectively [1][2][7]. - **Profitability Metrics**: - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to decline from 25.4% in 2023 to 16.7% in 2025, before recovering to 20.4% by 2027. The latest diluted earnings per share (EPS) are expected to decrease from 0.90 yuan in 2023 to 0.55 yuan in 2025, with a gradual recovery to 0.68 yuan by 2027 [1][2][7]. - **Market Position**: - The company has seen a steady increase in market share for its PPR products, with a slight decline in service households being less than the overall industry demand drop. The PVC product's gross margin has increased despite a decrease in sales volume, attributed to improved product strength and brand recognition [2][3]. - **Cash Flow and Dividends**: - Operating cash flow has increased by 99.10% year-on-year, reaching 581 million. The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 157 million, which represents 58% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [2][3].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but managed to improve its PVC gross margin through enhanced product and service offerings [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 2.078 billion, 271 million, and 268 million yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year declines of 11.33%, 20.25%, and 21.06% [1]. - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 1.183 billion, 157 million, and 154 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year declines of 12.16%, 15.55%, and 22.25% [1]. - The company’s PPR business gross margin was 57.5% in H1 2025, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, indicating stable performance despite competitive pressures [2]. Group 2: Product and Service Development - The company focused on deepening its product and service model, leading to a gross margin increase for PVC products to 23.5%, up 2.6 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to systematic sales and enhanced service value [1]. - The waterproof business showed steady growth in H1 2025, with an increase in service users and matching rates, while the net water business is undergoing a strategic transition and is expected to face ongoing pressure [2]. Group 3: Cash Flow and Dividends - The company achieved a record high in net cash from operating activities of 580 million yuan in H1 2025, an increase of 290 million yuan year-on-year, primarily due to reduced raw material expenditures [2]. - The company proposed a mid-term dividend of 160 million yuan, with a dividend payout ratio of 58% [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Recommendations - The company is expected to see net profits attributable to shareholders of 732 million, 864 million, and 950 million yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding year-on-year changes of -23.13%, +17.98%, and +10.00% [3]. - Given the company's strong barriers to entry, expected earnings elasticity, and high dividend yield, a "strong buy" rating is recommended [3].

Group 1 - The well-known private equity firm Qinghequan Capital recently conducted research on a listed company, emphasizing the importance of enhancing quality, value, and service while avoiding ineffective price competition [1] - The company highlighted that its waterproof business primarily focuses on indoor home decoration, and product prices are expected to decline year-on-year in the first half of 2025, but will gradually recover on a quarter-on-quarter basis [1] - The retail business is seeing an increase in the proportion of second-hand and old house renovations, and the company has not adjusted its annual targets, aiming to motivate employees to strive for better performance [1] Group 2 - The waterproof business is experiencing steady growth, while the water purification business model is still undergoing adjustments and optimization [1] - The company maintains a cautious outlook on demand for the second half of the year, noting that the retail business is significantly influenced by economic conditions [1] - The company is implementing cost-plus pricing in its retail business, focusing on enhancing products and services, while the engineering business is adapting to market conditions [1] Group 3 - The semi-annual dividend is being considered based on external environment, development plans, profitability, and investor return needs [1]