Group 1 - The company emphasizes the importance of its waterproof business development, utilizing a "product + service" business model to expand its market presence [2] - The waterproof business has shown steady growth in the first half of the year [2] - The water purification business is currently undergoing continuous adjustments and optimization of its business model [2]

Group 1 - The company announced on August 25 that its waterproof business, although new, is part of the home decoration industry chain and has good synergy with its pipeline products [1] - The company plans to leverage its existing sales channels and service resources to expand the market for its waterproof business [1] - Overall, the waterproof business has achieved profitability relatively quickly after short-term investment [1]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 13.56 billion yuan in H1 2025, a slight decrease of 0.29% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.93 billion yuan, down 12.8% year-on-year [1] - The gypsum board segment faced pressure with a revenue of 6.68 billion yuan, a decline of 8.57% year-on-year, while the overseas business saw significant growth [2] Revenue and Profitability - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 7.31 billion yuan, down 4.46% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.09 billion yuan, down 21.88% year-on-year [1] - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 30.4%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, with Q2 showing a gross margin of 31.6%, reflecting a sequential improvement [3] Product Performance - Gypsum board revenue accounted for 49.2% of total revenue, while the metal framework and waterproofing businesses contributed 8.4% and 14.2% respectively, with the latter showing growth [2] - The waterproofing segment reported a revenue of 1.92 billion yuan, up 0.37% year-on-year, while the coatings business grew by 40.8% to 2.51 billion yuan [2] Cash Flow and Financial Health - Operating cash flow for H1 2025 was 0.962 billion yuan, a decline of 52.9% year-on-year, primarily due to previous acquisitions affecting cash inflow [3] - As of H1 2025, total receivables and contract assets amounted to 6.92 billion yuan, an increase of 6% year-on-year [3] Strategic Developments - The company is focusing on its core gypsum board business while advancing its "one body, two wings" strategy, including the restructuring of a coatings subsidiary and plans for new production facilities [4] - The overseas business is expanding, with a new gypsum board production line in Thailand entering trial production and ongoing projects in Bosnia [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [3]. Core Views - The company's operational quality is stable and improving, with ongoing optimization of its "concentric circle" business model. Despite a decline in revenue and net profit due to weak downstream demand, the overall operational quality is on an upward trend. The retail business remains robust, and the waterproofing segment shows steady growth, while overseas operations have turned profitable [2][3]. Financial Summary - **Revenue and Profit Forecasts**: - 2023A: Revenue of 6,378 million, net profit of 1,432 million - 2024A: Revenue of 6,267 million, net profit of 953 million - 2025E: Revenue of 5,872 million, net profit of 878 million - 2026E: Revenue of 6,289 million, net profit of 963 million - 2027E: Revenue of 6,780 million, net profit of 1,079 million - Revenue growth rates are projected at -8.3% for 2023, -1.8% for 2024, -6.3% for 2025, followed by positive growth of 7.1% and 7.8% in 2026 and 2027 respectively [1][2][7]. - **Profitability Metrics**: - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to decline from 25.4% in 2023 to 16.7% in 2025, before recovering to 20.4% by 2027. The latest diluted earnings per share (EPS) are expected to decrease from 0.90 yuan in 2023 to 0.55 yuan in 2025, with a gradual recovery to 0.68 yuan by 2027 [1][2][7]. - **Market Position**: - The company has seen a steady increase in market share for its PPR products, with a slight decline in service households being less than the overall industry demand drop. The PVC product's gross margin has increased despite a decrease in sales volume, attributed to improved product strength and brand recognition [2][3]. - **Cash Flow and Dividends**: - Operating cash flow has increased by 99.10% year-on-year, reaching 581 million. The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 157 million, which represents 58% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [2][3].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but managed to improve its PVC gross margin through enhanced product and service offerings [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 2.078 billion, 271 million, and 268 million yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year declines of 11.33%, 20.25%, and 21.06% [1]. - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 1.183 billion, 157 million, and 154 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year declines of 12.16%, 15.55%, and 22.25% [1]. - The company’s PPR business gross margin was 57.5% in H1 2025, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, indicating stable performance despite competitive pressures [2]. Group 2: Product and Service Development - The company focused on deepening its product and service model, leading to a gross margin increase for PVC products to 23.5%, up 2.6 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to systematic sales and enhanced service value [1]. - The waterproof business showed steady growth in H1 2025, with an increase in service users and matching rates, while the net water business is undergoing a strategic transition and is expected to face ongoing pressure [2]. Group 3: Cash Flow and Dividends - The company achieved a record high in net cash from operating activities of 580 million yuan in H1 2025, an increase of 290 million yuan year-on-year, primarily due to reduced raw material expenditures [2]. - The company proposed a mid-term dividend of 160 million yuan, with a dividend payout ratio of 58% [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Recommendations - The company is expected to see net profits attributable to shareholders of 732 million, 864 million, and 950 million yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding year-on-year changes of -23.13%, +17.98%, and +10.00% [3]. - Given the company's strong barriers to entry, expected earnings elasticity, and high dividend yield, a "strong buy" rating is recommended [3].

Group 1 - The well-known private equity firm Qinghequan Capital recently conducted research on a listed company, emphasizing the importance of enhancing quality, value, and service while avoiding ineffective price competition [1] - The company highlighted that its waterproof business primarily focuses on indoor home decoration, and product prices are expected to decline year-on-year in the first half of 2025, but will gradually recover on a quarter-on-quarter basis [1] - The retail business is seeing an increase in the proportion of second-hand and old house renovations, and the company has not adjusted its annual targets, aiming to motivate employees to strive for better performance [1] Group 2 - The waterproof business is experiencing steady growth, while the water purification business model is still undergoing adjustments and optimization [1] - The company maintains a cautious outlook on demand for the second half of the year, noting that the retail business is significantly influenced by economic conditions [1] - The company is implementing cost-plus pricing in its retail business, focusing on enhancing products and services, while the engineering business is adapting to market conditions [1] Group 3 - The semi-annual dividend is being considered based on external environment, development plans, profitability, and investor return needs [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [3]. Core Views - The company's performance is driven by robust growth in its two main business segments, with significant contributions from both waterproofing and coating businesses. The international business is also showing strong growth [6]. - The company reported a revenue of 6.246 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.09% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.45%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 842 million yuan, up 2.46% year-on-year and 67.82% quarter-on-quarter [6]. - The company is expanding its coating business, which saw a remarkable revenue increase of 111.44% year-on-year in Q1 2025, reaching 908 million yuan [6]. - The report forecasts steady revenue growth for the company, with projected revenues of 29.51 billion yuan in 2025, 32.93 billion yuan in 2026, and 35.27 billion yuan in 2027 [2][8]. Financial Summary - The company's projected financial metrics include: - Revenue growth rates of 15.14% for 2024, 14.30% for 2025, 11.58% for 2026, and 7.10% for 2027 [2]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 4.48 billion yuan in 2025, 5.19 billion yuan in 2026, and 5.74 billion yuan in 2027 [2]. - The diluted EPS is projected to be 2.65 yuan in 2025, 3.07 yuan in 2026, and 3.40 yuan in 2027 [2]. - The company’s PE ratio is expected to decrease from 13.15 in 2024 to 8.35 in 2027, indicating improving valuation [2][8]. Business Strategy - The company is implementing a "One Body, Two Wings" strategy, focusing on expanding its waterproofing and coating businesses while solidifying its leading position in the gypsum board market [6]. - A new industrial coating production base is planned in Anhui, which will enhance the company's market competitiveness in central and southwestern China [6].

Core Viewpoint - The company achieved steady performance improvement in Q1 2025, marking a "good start" with revenue and profit growth [2] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 6.246 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.09% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 842 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.46% [1] Business Development - The company is focusing on solidifying its gypsum board and gypsum board+ business while driving growth in waterproof and coating sectors through both organic and external development [2] - The waterproof business achieved revenue of 1.054 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10.54%, and a net profit of 43 million yuan, up 19.89% [2] - The coating business saw significant growth, with revenue reaching 908 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 111.44%, and a net profit of 44 million yuan, up 48.17% [2] - International business continued to perform well, with revenue increasing by 73% year-on-year and net profit rising by 143.08% [2] Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 28.820 billion yuan, 32.373 billion yuan, and 36.249 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 4.462 billion yuan, 4.999 billion yuan, and 5.616 billion yuan respectively [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 11.2, 10.0, and 8.9 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [3] - The average valuation for comparable companies in 2025 is 23.1 times PE, and the company maintains an "overweight" rating [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [12] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 6.246 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.09%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 842 million yuan, up 2.46% year-on-year [4][5] - The main business of gypsum board remains resilient, with a slight increase in sales expected despite industry pressures, while other segments such as waterproofing and coatings have shown significant growth [5][6] - The company is pursuing a "one body, two wings" strategy, focusing on its core gypsum board business while expanding into new categories and regions, which is expected to drive long-term growth [6] Financial Summary - The company has a total market capitalization of 49.9 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 48.2 billion yuan [3] - The projected revenues for 2025 and 2026 are 29.7 billion yuan and 33.2 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.1% and 11.8% [8][11] - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 and 2026 is 4.56 billion yuan and 5.17 billion yuan, reflecting growth rates of 25.1% and 13.4% [6][11]