利拉鲁肽生物类似药

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健友股份(603707):生物类似药启新程 原料药卸旧负
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-07 02:38
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but showed significant improvement in the second quarter, driven by its biopharmaceutical business and export growth in formulations [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company's revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items were 1.98 billion, 286 million, and 260 million yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year declines of 7.60%, 29.32%, and 29.46% [1]. - For Q2 2025, the revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items were 1.095 billion, 202 million, and 185 million yuan, showing year-on-year declines of 3.84%, 11.53%, and 6.36%, but a quarter-on-quarter improvement of 24%, 138%, and 145% respectively [1][2]. Business Segments - The raw material drug business faced challenges, with revenue declining by 45% year-on-year to 291 million yuan in 1H25, reducing its revenue contribution to 15% from 25% in 1H24 [2]. - The formulation segment showed stable growth, with revenue of 1.659 billion yuan in 1H25, up 7% year-on-year, driven by strong export performance, particularly in the U.S. market, which generated 1.137 billion yuan, a 20% increase year-on-year [3]. - The company has received over 100 overseas approvals and is expanding its pipeline in the European market, aiming to replicate U.S. growth [3]. Biologics Development - The company is building a product matrix in biosimilars, with approvals for adalimumab, liraglutide, and paclitaxel biosimilars, and expects to introduce more potential products [3]. - The collaboration with Tonghua Dongbao on insulin products is anticipated to yield approvals starting in 2026 [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.024 billion, 1.327 billion, and 1.650 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 24%, 30%, and 24% respectively [4]. - The estimated EPS for the same period is 0.63, 0.82, and 1.02 yuan [4]. - A target price of 17.34 yuan is set, based on a 2025 PE of 27.37x, reflecting a 20% discount to the average PE of comparable companies [4].