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经纬恒润(688326):单二季度扭亏为盈,有望持续受益智能驾驶迎来业绩反转
Great Wall Securities· 2025-09-01 12:21
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [4][17]. Core Views - The company has turned profitable in the second quarter of 2025, with a significant reduction in losses year-on-year, driven by effective transformation of prior R&D investments and cost-reduction measures [2][3]. - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing expansion in the smart driving sector, with various product breakthroughs and strategic partnerships that position it well for future growth [3][8]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections show a steady increase from 4,678 million yuan in 2023 to 10,856 million yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 23.5% [1]. - The net profit is projected to turn positive by 2025, with estimates of 22 million yuan, and further increasing to 321 million yuan by 2027 [1][8]. - The company's gross margin is expected to improve from 24.6% in 2023 to 33.7% by 2027, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency [9]. Business Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2,908 million yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 43.48%, with a notable profit turnaround in the second quarter [2]. - The electronic products segment reported a revenue of 2,546 million yuan, up 51.49% year-on-year, while the R&D services segment grew by 4.29% [2]. - The company has made significant strides in its smart driving business, including the production of 1 million physical area controllers and strategic collaborations with leading logistics firms [3].