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四季度北京写字楼市场,局部回暖与整体承压并存
3 6 Ke· 2025-10-30 03:59
Core Insights - The Beijing Grade A office leasing market is expected to show a pattern of "partial recovery and overall pressure" in Q4 2025, driven by the expansion of high-tech tenants, while landlords will continue to adopt a "price-for-volume" strategy to accelerate leasing [1] - Tenants are becoming more proactive in their leasing decisions, focusing on cost optimization and incorporating green attributes into their decision-making processes [2] - The volume of bulk transactions in the Beijing office market is anticipated to increase in Q4 2025, with sellers likely to offer price concessions to facilitate sales [3] Group 1: Market Outlook - The leasing market is expected to see increased activity from high-tech tenants, but overall market stability remains uncertain due to economic recovery pace and upcoming supply in 2026 [1] - Landlords are likely to enhance flexibility in leasing terms to attract quality tenants amid ongoing market challenges [1] Group 2: Tenant Behavior - Tenants are shifting from passive acceptance of existing conditions to actively seeking cost-effective office spaces, potentially leading to early lease terminations and relocations [2] - The emphasis on ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) compliance is rising, with tenants prioritizing green building certifications and renewable energy supply in their leasing decisions [2] Group 3: Bulk Transaction Market - The bulk transaction market is expected to see improved activity as sellers increase price concessions, particularly for quality properties in established business districts [3] - There is a notable price negotiation gap between buyers' expectations and sellers' bottom lines, which may hinder transaction volumes [3] Group 4: Recommendations for Tenants - Tenants are advised to take advantage of year-end rental discounts and initiate discussions with landlords to secure preferred spaces [4] - In terms of green initiatives, tenants should prioritize certified green buildings and consider collaborating with landlords for green upgrades [4] Group 5: Recommendations for Landlords - Landlords should develop customized leasing strategies based on tenant characteristics to enhance leasing efficiency [5] - Offering attractive terms for high-value tenants can help build a sustainable leasing ecosystem [5] Group 6: Recommendations for Buyers and Sellers - Buyers are encouraged to leverage the year-end asset allocation window and adopt competitive bidding strategies [6] - Sellers should focus on realistic pricing and tailored incentives to meet the diverse needs of different buyer types [6] Group 7: Market Performance Data - The average effective rent for Grade A offices in Beijing decreased by 5.0% to 220 RMB per square meter per month, with a vacancy rate of 17.6% [9] - The bulk transaction market saw a significant decline in total transaction value, dropping 84% to 750 million RMB, indicating cautious buyer sentiment [16]
北京写字楼市场拐点将至?
3 6 Ke· 2025-09-24 09:10
虽然市场总量去化的趋势进一步加快,市场需求侧出现明显改善,但各子市场表现依然冷热不均。继中 关村连续四个季度累计去化总量创有历史记录以来的最快速度之后,本季度该子市场净吸纳量再度超过 6.3万平米,这是连续五个季度以来第二次实现单季度净吸纳量超过6万平米。市场空置率大幅回落至 15.1%,环比降幅达到3.9个百分点,同比降幅达到4.6个百分点,与两年前相比大幅回落5.9%。在高力 国际监控的24个甲级写字楼项目中,有14个项目空置率不到10%,其中甚至还有10个项目空置率已低于 5%。 高力国际分析认为,随着北京加快建设国际科技创新中心,得益于过去十年以来逐步积累的科创产业聚 集优势、长期服务于科创企业的先发优势和产业办公产品的高性价比优势,中关村市场已经开始受益于 新质生产力企业成长壮大所带来的产业红利。随着整个中关村子市场新增需求的持续放量,未来中关村 将有希望成为北京写字楼市场第一个实现租金企稳回升的子市场。但科创类企业释放出的新增办公空间 需求规模尚不足以拉动整体市场企稳,整体上北京写字楼市场的需求侧仍将持续承压。 持续下行的北京写字楼市场,在部分区域可能将迎来拐点。 据高力国际统计数据,今年第三季度 ...
北京写字楼空置率下降,科技企业撑起三成需求
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 09:57
Group 1 - The Beijing office market is showing signs of recovery, with a slight decrease in vacancy rates and continued downward pressure on rents, particularly in the technology sector [1][2] - As of the end of Q2, the vacancy rate for Grade A office buildings in Beijing decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 18.4%, reversing the upward trend seen in Q1, with a net absorption of 12,960 square meters [1] - The technology sector is the primary driver of leasing activity, accounting for 34% of total transaction area, followed by finance and professional services at 22% and 16% respectively [2] Group 2 - Despite a slight decrease in vacancy rates, rental prices continue to face pressure, with Grade A office rents in Beijing declining by 1.6% quarter-on-quarter to RMB 233.1 per square meter, a 7.4% decrease compared to Q4 2024 [2] - The Financial Street area, known for its high rents, saw a 6.1% decline in Q2 rents, dropping below RMB 400 to RMB 389.2 per square meter, an 8.7% decrease from Q4 2024 [2] - The Zhongguancun area experienced a 3.2 percentage point decrease in vacancy rates to 12.8%, despite a 1.0% decline in rents to RMB 258.2 per square meter [3] Group 3 - The overall rental trend for Grade A office buildings in Beijing continued to decline, with a 4.0% quarter-on-quarter decrease and a 16.8% year-on-year decrease [3] - The market is expected to face a supply peak in 2026, with an anticipated 757,000 square meters of new office space, which may further pressure rental prices [3] - The market is currently in a stabilization phase, with limited room for landlords to reduce rents, while future demand may be driven by 20 emerging industries identified in the Beijing government’s development guidelines [3]