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原木:基差修复,宽幅震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-06-20 05:08
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - The log market shows basis repair and wide - range fluctuations [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Contract Data**: For the 2507 contract, the closing price on June 19, 2025, was 798, with a daily increase of 0.3% and a weekly increase of 4.0%. The trading volume was 21,160, a daily decrease of 34.0% and a weekly increase of 39%. The open interest was 22,957, a daily decrease of 1.9% and a weekly increase of 9%. Similar data is presented for 2509 and 2511 contracts [1] - **Basis Data**: The basis between spot and 2507 contract was - 48 on June 19, 2025, with a daily increase of 5.5% and a weekly increase of 75%. The basis between 2507 - 2509 contract had a daily increase of 700.0% and a weekly decrease of 124% [1] - **Spot Market Data**: In the log spot market, most prices remained stable on June 19, 2025, with some showing minor weekly changes. For example, the price of 3.9 - meter 30 + radiata pine in the Shandong market was 750 yuan/m³, with a weekly increase of 1.4%. In the wood square spot market, prices were mostly unchanged [1] 3.2 Macro and Industry News - From January to May 2025, the national real - estate development investment was 362.34 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 10.7% [3] 3.3 Trend Intensity - The log trend intensity is 0, indicating a neutral view [3]
格林:基差修复,宽幅震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-06-19 01:19
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core View - The report indicates that the log market is experiencing basis repair and wide - range fluctuations. The trend strength of logs is rated as 1, suggesting a neutral - to - slightly positive outlook [1][3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Contracts**: For the 2507 contract, the closing price on June 18 was 795.5 with a daily increase of 0.3% and a weekly increase of 4.0%. The trading volume decreased by 32.0% daily but increased by 116% weekly, and the open interest decreased by 2.8% daily and increased by 5% weekly. Similar data is presented for 2509 and 2511 contracts, showing different price, volume, and open - interest trends [1]. - **Basis**: The basis between spot and futures contracts, as well as between different futures contracts, showed significant changes. For example, the basis of spot - 2507 decreased by 14.2% daily and increased by 82% weekly [1]. - **Spot Prices**: Different types of logs in various regions had different price changes. For instance, the price of 3.9 - meter 30 + radiata pine in the Shandong market increased by 1.4% both daily and weekly, while the price of 5.9 - meter 40 + radiata pine in the Jiangsu market decreased by 2.4% weekly [1]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - From January to May, the national real estate development investment was 362.34 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 10.7% [3]. 3.3 Trend Intensity - The log trend intensity is 1, within the range of [-2, 2], indicating a neutral - to - slightly positive view [3].