Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [9][10]. Core Views - The company's Q1 revenue was 735.4 billion RMB, showing a decrease of 7% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 4% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 13.3 billion RMB, which was above expectations due to reduced losses in the chemical segment and better-than-expected performance in non-oil marketing [1]. - The report highlights that traditional business profitability is under pressure, while non-oil business shows promising growth [1]. - The refining segment's profitability is under pressure due to high crude oil inventory, leading to a significant decline in refining margins [3]. - The marketing segment's profit declined due to weak domestic demand for refined oil products, although non-oil business profits increased [4]. - The chemical segment has reduced losses and is expected to benefit from a market recovery [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 revenue was 735.4 billion RMB, with a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7% and a year-on-year increase of 4%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 13.3 billion RMB, with a significant year-on-year increase of 119% [1]. - Q1 crude oil production was 69.5 million barrels, down 1.2% year-on-year, while natural gas production increased by 5.1% to 368.4 billion cubic feet [2]. - The refining segment processed 62.1 million tons of crude oil, down 1.8% year-on-year, with refining margins narrowing to 6.2 USD per barrel, a decrease of 13.9% [3]. Segment Analysis - The marketing segment saw total domestic refined oil sales of 43.2 million tons, down 5.3% year-on-year, with retail sales declining by 6.4% [4]. - The chemical segment produced 386, 568, and 260 million tons of ethylene, synthetic resin, and synthetic fiber respectively, with year-on-year increases of 18%, 17%, and 27% [5]. Profitability Forecast - The report forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 53.9 billion, 58.8 billion, and 61.6 billion RMB respectively, with EPS projected at 0.44, 0.48, and 0.51 RMB [6]. - The target prices are set at 6.82 RMB and 4.73 HKD for A and H shares respectively, based on a PE ratio of 15.5 and 10.0 for 2025 [6].

Core Viewpoint - The expansion of the scrapping subsidy for old operating trucks to include natural gas vehicles is expected to accelerate the replacement of gas heavy trucks, benefiting China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) [1][3]. Financial Performance - In Q1, Sinopec reported a revenue decline of 6.9% year-on-year to 735.36 billion yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders down 27.6% to 13.26 billion yuan [1]. - The decline in performance is attributed to falling international oil prices, which led to an asset impairment loss of 210 million yuan due to inventory devaluation [1]. - Investment income dropped by 69.9% year-on-year to 1.65 billion yuan, with a loss of 3.83 billion yuan, impacted by fluctuations in hedging business and decreased performance of joint ventures [1]. Market Dynamics - Domestic refined oil demand fell by 4% year-on-year in Q1, while chemical product demand grew but remained at low margins [2]. - The average selling price of crude oil decreased by 5.2% to 71.5 USD per barrel, and the price of self-produced natural gas fell by 3.5% to 1.91 yuan per cubic meter [2]. - Crude oil processing volume decreased by 1.8% to 62.13 million tons, with diesel production dropping significantly by 13.9% to 12.7 million tons [2]. Business Segment Performance - The exploration and development, refining, and marketing and distribution segments saw EBIT declines of 8%, 65%, and 44% respectively, with profits of 13.63 billion yuan, 2.39 billion yuan, and 4.87 billion yuan [2]. - The chemical segment, while still in loss, narrowed its loss by 288 million yuan to -1.61 billion yuan [2]. - Sinopec's marketing and distribution segment experienced significant growth in its gas station business, with retail sales of liquefied natural gas (LNG) increasing by 116% to 2.05 billion cubic meters [2]. Industry Trends - The market for natural gas heavy trucks is rapidly developing, with sales increasing by 4% year-on-year to 47,000 units in Q1 [3]. - The proportion of natural gas heavy trucks in total heavy truck sales is projected to rise from 8% in 2022 to 28% in 2024, driven by environmental and economic considerations [4].