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兴证国际:维持顺丰同城(09699)“增持”评级 利润端仍具增长空间
智通财经网· 2025-09-11 02:11
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report maintains a "buy" rating for SF Express, with expectations for continued revenue growth driven by deepening in key accounts, expansion in mid-tier markets, and penetration in lower-tier markets [1] - The company is projected to achieve revenue growth of 33.6%/23.6%/17.7% for the years 2025-2027, with adjusted net profit growth of 88.4%/71.9%/51.2% during the same period [1] Group 2 - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 10.24 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49%, with revenue from B-end and C-end same-city delivery services reaching 4.5 billion and 1.3 billion yuan respectively, showing growth rates of 55% and 13% [2] - The number of active merchants on the B-end platform reached 850,000, a year-on-year increase of 55%, with significant growth in non-food categories such as tea, supermarkets, pharmaceuticals, and maternal and infant products [2] Group 3 - The last-mile delivery business generated revenue of 4.5 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 57%, driven by deep collaboration with SF Group's trunk network and increased demand during peak periods [3] - Daily average order volume in the collection segment increased by 150% year-on-year, supported by the rise in e-commerce parcel delivery and various local logistics scenarios [3] Group 4 - The company reported a gross margin of 6.7% and a net profit of 137 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 120%, with a net profit margin of 1.3%, up 0.4 percentage points [4] - Profitability improvements are attributed to scale effects from increased order volume, enhanced network density, and cost reductions from refined management practices [4]
兴证国际:维持顺丰同城“增持”评级 利润端仍具增长空间
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 02:09
Core Viewpoint - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for SF Express (09699), highlighting continued revenue growth driven by deepening key account (KA) engagement, mid-tier expansion, and penetration into lower-tier markets, with profit growth supported by increased order density, AI scheduling, and the scaling of unmanned vehicles [1] Group 1: Revenue Growth - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 10.24 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49% [2] - Revenue from B-end same-city delivery services, C-end same-city delivery services, and last-mile delivery business reached 4.5 billion, 1.3 billion, and 4.5 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth of 55%, 13%, and 57% [2] - The number of active merchants on the B-end platform reached 850,000, a 55% increase year-on-year, with county-level merchants doubling their daily order volume [2] Group 2: Last-Mile Delivery Growth - Last-mile business revenue in H1 2025 was 4.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 57% year-on-year increase [3] - Growth was driven by deep collaboration with SF Group's trunk network, with rapid increases in e-commerce parcel delivery scale and proportion [3] - Daily order volume in the collection segment increased by 150% year-on-year during peak periods such as nights, holidays, and shopping festivals [3] Group 3: Profitability Improvement - The company's gross margin in H1 2025 was 6.7%, with a net profit of 137 million yuan, representing a 120% year-on-year increase [4] - The net profit margin improved by 0.4 percentage points to 1.3% [4] - Profitability enhancement was primarily due to scale effects from increased order volume, improved network density, and cost reductions from refined management [4]