Core Viewpoint - Tianli International Holdings (01773) is actively adjusting its enrollment strategy for private education institutions, aiming to enhance student numbers and revenue through a focus on "AI + education" initiatives and a share buyback plan [1][2][9]. Group 1: Enrollment Strategy - The company is strategically expanding its enrollment of transfer students, expecting a 14% year-on-year increase in the total number of students served in the fiscal year 2026, reaching approximately 148,000 students [2]. - As of January 25, 2026, the company has enrolled 3,603 transfer students, significantly up from 2,600 new enrollments in November 2025 [2]. - The company aims to improve the quality of its student body by raising admission standards, which has led to a decrease in enrollment growth rates, with a focus on maintaining high-quality student demographics [2][5]. Group 2: AI + Education Business - The AI Crash Camp initiative is expected to generate revenue of 88 million yuan in fiscal year 2026, with a projected coverage of 4,000 students [6][8]. - The AI system, developed by the company's subsidiary, aims to enhance educational outcomes, particularly for students needing additional support, with proven results showing significant score improvements [7]. - The company anticipates that the coverage of the AI Crash Camp will increase to 10% in the mid-term, with potential expansion into external schools [8]. Group 3: Share Buyback and Investor Confidence - The company announced a share buyback plan, with a maximum of 200 million HKD allocated for repurchasing shares in the open market, reinforcing investor confidence [1][9]. - The chairman has also been actively increasing his shareholding, further demonstrating commitment to the company's long-term growth [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tianli International Holdings (01773.HK) is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][16]. Core Views - The company is strategically expanding its enrollment of transfer students to counteract the previous slowdown in enrollment growth, with a target of approximately 7,000 transfer students for the fiscal year 2026, which is expected to increase the total number of students served by about 14% year-on-year [3][5]. - The AI education products are showing sustained effectiveness, accelerating revenue conversion. The AI Sprint Camp has reached 1,934 students as of January 26, 2026, with expectations to exceed 4,000 students for the year, projecting revenues of 0.88 billion, 1.54 billion, and 2.31 billion for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 respectively [3][8][11]. - The company forecasts revenues of 39.15 billion, 42.25 billion, and 44.99 billion for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028, with corresponding growth rates of 9.1%, 7.9%, and 6.5%. Adjusted net profits are projected to be 7.41 billion, 8.21 billion, and 9.01 billion for the same periods, with growth rates of 11.5%, 10.9%, and 9.7% [3][16]. Summary by Sections Enrollment Strategy - The company is actively adjusting its enrollment strategy to address the short-term negative impact on enrollment growth. As of January 25, 2026, 3,603 transfer students have been enrolled, with a projected total of 14.8 million students served in FY2026, reflecting a year-on-year increase of approximately 14% [3][5]. - The strategy includes a slight relaxation of enrollment standards to increase student reserves while maintaining teaching quality [7]. AI Education Business - The AI Sprint Camp business is accelerating its commercialization, with expected revenue conversion of 0.88 billion for FY2026. The program has shown significant improvement in student performance, with a notable increase in the number of students covered [8][10]. - The AI system, developed by the company's subsidiary, aims to enhance educational outcomes, particularly for students who are lagging behind [10]. Share Buyback and Investor Confidence - The company announced a share buyback plan, intending to repurchase up to 200 million HKD worth of shares in the open market, which is expected to enhance investor confidence [3][12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tianli International Holdings (01773.HK) is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][16]. Core Views - The company is strategically expanding its enrollment of transfer students to counteract the previous slowdown in enrollment growth, with a target of approximately 7,000 transfer students for the fiscal year 2026, which is expected to increase the total number of students served by about 14% year-on-year [3][5]. - The effectiveness of the AI education products is being continuously validated, leading to accelerated revenue conversion. The AI Sprint Camp has reached 1,934 students, with expectations to exceed 4,000 students for the fiscal year 2026, generating projected revenues of CNY 88 million [3][8][11]. - Revenue forecasts for FY2026 to FY2028 are projected at CNY 39.15 billion, CNY 42.25 billion, and CNY 44.99 billion, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 9.1%, 7.9%, and 6.5% [3][16]. Summary by Sections Enrollment Strategy - The company is actively adjusting its enrollment strategy to address the short-term negative impact on enrollment growth. As of January 25, 2026, 3,603 transfer students have been enrolled, with a projected total of 14.8 million students served in FY2026, reflecting a year-on-year increase of approximately 14% [3][5]. - The strategy includes a slight relaxation of enrollment standards to increase student reserves while maintaining teaching quality [7]. AI Education Business - The AI Sprint Camp business is accelerating its commercialization, with expected revenue conversion of CNY 88 million for FY2026. The program has shown significant improvement in student performance, with an average score increase of 48 points for nearly 1,000 students in the latest pilot [8][10]. - The AI education system, developed by the company's subsidiary, aims to provide additional educational resources to students who are lagging behind, thereby enhancing overall school performance and reputation [10][11]. Share Buyback and Investor Confidence - The company announced a share buyback plan, intending to repurchase up to CNY 200 million worth of shares in the open market, which is expected to enhance investor confidence [3][12].