机构：长江证券 研究员：吴一凡/程泽宇 现货及衍生品上市数目的增加带动上市费用同比高增。1）现货市场方面，2025 年联交所上市费用同比 增长8.6%，新上市公司119 家，募资金额同比增长236.1%。2）衍生品市场方面，2025 年衍生品市场联 交所上市费同比增长38.4%至8.25 亿港元，主要源于新上市衍生权证数目、新上市牛熊证数目同比高 增。 Q4 投资收益同环比均有所增长，投资资金规模同比高增。1）2025Q4 单季公司投资净收益实现12.18 亿 港元，同环比分别+2%、+20%。2）2025 年保证金及结算所基金投资收益同比增长1.95%，年化投资收 益率同比下降0.24pct 至1.32%，平均资金金额同比增长20.08%，资金规模因调高保证金要求而增加。 3）公司资金的投资收益净额为18.70 亿港元，同比增长6.98%；公司资金规模为370 亿元，同比 +7.56%；年化投资收益率为5.06%，同比下降-0.03pct，主要系购置港交所永久总部物业，外部组合规 模及收益减少。 1、权益市场大幅回调；2、上市制度改革不及预期；3、互联互通进展缓慢；4、美联储政策不确定性。 公司业绩延续高增 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market showed strong performance in May, with active trading and positive growth expectations for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's (HKEX) earnings [1][2] Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 16.1% and 15.7% respectively compared to the end of 2024 [1] - The monthly average daily turnover (ADT) for HKEX was HKD 210.3 billion, down 23.4% month-on-month but up 50.4% year-on-year [1] - The monthly ADT for the Shanghai-Shenzhen Stock Connect was HKD 906.13 billion, down 6.9% month-on-month but up 22.4% year-on-year [1] - The monthly ADT for the Hong Kong Stock Connect was HKD 147.42 billion, down 22.9% month-on-month but up 50.1% year-on-year [1] Derivatives and Commodity Markets - In the derivatives market, both futures and options trading volumes decreased month-on-month and year-on-year [1] - The average daily volume (ADV) for futures was 586,000 contracts, down 30.3% month-on-month and 14.6% year-on-year [1] - The ADV for options was 805,000 contracts, down 19.8% month-on-month and 23.7% year-on-year [1] - The London Metal Exchange (LME) saw a decrease in trading volume, with a daily average of 707,000 contracts, down 19.7% month-on-month and 8.5% year-on-year [1] IPO Market - The Hong Kong IPO market experienced significant growth, with 10 new listings in May totaling HKD 55.8 billion, representing increases of 1830.4% month-on-month and 3150.6% year-on-year [1] Investment Income - Investment income rates for HKEX showed a decline month-on-month and year-on-year as of the end of May [1] - The 6-month HIBOR was 2.16%, down 1.86 percentage points month-on-month and down 2.66 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The 1-month HIBOR was 0.59%, down 3.37 percentage points month-on-month and down 3.89 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The overnight HIBOR was 0.03%, down 4.47 percentage points month-on-month and down 4.44 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The US overnight bank funding rate was 4.33%, unchanged month-on-month [1] Macroeconomic Environment - Domestic economic conditions showed signs of recovery, with the manufacturing PMI at 49.50%, up 0.50 percentage points month-on-month [1] - New orders and new export orders indices were at 49.8% and 47.5%, respectively, with increases of 0.60 percentage points and 2.80 percentage points month-on-month [1] - The manufacturing production index was at 50.7%, up 0.90 percentage points month-on-month [1] - Internationally, the Federal Reserve maintained its interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%, with expectations for rate cuts being postponed [1][2] Investment Outlook - As of the end of May, the company's PE ratio was 35.45x, positioned at the 44th percentile historically since 2016, indicating potential value for investment [2] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of HKD 29.8 billion, HKD 31.0 billion, and HKD 32.5 billion for 2025-2027, with net profits of HKD 17.9 billion, HKD 18.6 billion, and HKD 19.6 billion respectively [2] - Corresponding PE valuations are projected to be 29.2x, 28.0x, and 26.6x for the same period, suggesting a "buy" rating [2]