Core Viewpoint - The new housing policy in Shanghai has led to significant changes in the real estate market, particularly benefiting properties located just outside the outer ring road, with increased demand and sales activity observed in these areas [1][4][32]. Summary by Sections Policy Changes - The new policy reduces the social security requirement for non-local residents from three years to one year, allowing quicker access to home purchases [3]. - Non-local residents can now buy unlimited properties outside the outer ring, reducing barriers for upgrading homes [3]. - Local single residents are now considered as families, stimulating local demand for improved housing [3]. Market Response - Following the policy announcement, there was a 19% increase in new customer inquiries for properties outside the outer ring [6]. - The areas closest to the outer ring, such as Chunshen and Shangda, have seen the highest interest, with viewing-to-listing ratios indicating strong demand [7][8]. Sales Performance - Sales data shows that properties just outside the outer ring experienced a notable increase in transaction volumes, with some areas reporting over 50% growth in sales post-policy [10][12]. - Specific neighborhoods like Taopu and Tangzhen saw transaction volumes rise by 30% and 53.85%, respectively, compared to the week before the policy [9][10]. Price Trends - Despite some areas experiencing price drops, many neighborhoods saw price increases, with the average price in the Chuansha area rising by 12.82% post-policy [12][13]. - The overall sentiment among property owners in outer ring areas has shifted positively, with an increase in the proportion of listings at higher prices [17][19]. Buyer Behavior - The policy has shifted buyer focus towards high-quality new developments, with significant sales increases in new properties located outside the outer ring [28][29]. - The demand for new homes is driven by middle-class families transitioning from first-time buyers to seeking improved living conditions [28][29]. Market Dynamics - The policy has led to a re-evaluation of property values, with a focus on product quality, location, and living experience becoming more critical in buyer decision-making [35][36]. - The market is witnessing a shift where properties with better amenities and transportation links are favored, while older, less desirable properties struggle to attract buyers [26][30].

Core Insights - Shanghai's housing prices have increased again, leading the nation in growth [1][3] - The overall new housing sales in China have decreased by 5.5% in the first half of 2025, with residential sales down by 5.2% [3] - Shanghai's new housing prices have shown a significant year-on-year increase of 5.8%, marking the longest continuous rise in the country [3][4] Sales Performance - In the first half of 2025, new residential sales in Shanghai reached 44,241 billion yuan, with a notable decrease in sales volume [3] - The average price of new homes in Shanghai has reached 991 million yuan, nearing the 1 billion yuan mark [6] - The top ten projects in terms of sales area in Shanghai predominantly feature luxury properties priced at 100,000 yuan per square meter [6][7] Price Trends - In June, new housing prices in Shanghai increased by 0.4% month-on-month, ranking first alongside Changsha [4] - Conversely, the second-hand housing prices in Shanghai decreased by 0.7% month-on-month, maintaining the same decline as the previous month [4] - Year-on-year, second-hand housing prices in Shanghai fell by 1.3%, the smallest decline among major cities [5] Market Dynamics - The demand for new homes in suburban areas has significantly weakened, with some projects experiencing a sales cycle extending beyond 24 months [8] - Analysts predict that luxury properties will continue to drive average prices upward, while second-hand housing prices may remain stable or slightly decline without additional policy support [8][9] - The second-hand housing market in Shanghai is showing signs of a slowdown, with a 3.15% decrease in transactions in June compared to the previous month [9]