Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs remains bullish on the Chinese semiconductor industry, particularly on SMIC, raising its target prices for both H-shares and A-shares multiple times within a month, driven by the growth in AI applications and demand for semiconductor products [1][2][3]. Group 1: Target Price Adjustments - Goldman Sachs has raised the target price for SMIC's H-shares to HKD 117 and A-shares to CNY 211, marking the fourth adjustment in less than a month [1][2]. - The adjustments reflect a 31.79% increase for A-shares and an 83.67% increase for H-shares over the recent period [3]. Group 2: Market Performance - SMIC's market capitalization has increased by over CNY 400 billion, with the combined market value of A-shares and H-shares reaching CNY 780.5 billion [4]. - The stock price of SMIC has shown significant growth, with H-shares rising 134.36% and A-shares increasing 71.62% since June 19, 2025 [3]. Group 3: AI Demand and Company Growth - The rapid expansion of China's AI ecosystem, particularly the DeepSeek V3.2-Exp model, is expected to drive demand for power management chips and image sensors, benefiting SMIC [3][5]. - SMIC's production capacity utilization has rebounded to over 90%, with significant demand for PMIC and MCU chips from edge AI devices [5][6]. Group 4: Capital Expenditure and Expansion Plans - SMIC plans to invest USD 7.33 billion in capital expenditures in 2024 and USD 7.6 billion in 2025, with a focus on equipment purchases and infrastructure development [6][7]. - The company is expanding its production capacity by approximately 50,000 12-inch wafers annually across various locations [6][7]. Group 5: Acquisition Strategy - SMIC is acquiring a 49% stake in SMIC North, a key 12-inch production base in Beijing, which will enhance its production capabilities and asset quality [6][7]. - The acquisition is viewed as a strategic move to bolster SMIC's capacity expansion and operational efficiency [7].

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs has issued a bullish outlook on the Chinese semiconductor industry, raising target prices for SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor for the fourth time in a month, citing long-term benefits from AI-driven chip demand growth [1][4]. Group 1: Target Price Adjustments - Goldman Sachs raised the 12-month target price for SMIC's H-shares to HKD 117.0 and A-shares to CNY 211.0 [1][5]. - Hua Hong Semiconductor's target price was increased by 34% to HKD 117.0, maintaining a "buy" rating for both companies [1][4]. Group 2: AI Model Cost Revolution - The report highlights a significant breakthrough in AI models with DeepSeek's new experimental model, DeepSeek V3.2-Exp, which reduces API costs by over 50% [2]. - The input cost for the model has decreased to CNY 0.2-2 per million tokens, while the output cost is CNY 3 per million tokens [2]. Group 3: Chip Demand Growth - The explosion of AI applications in China is expected to create massive demand for various chips, including PMICs, Bluetooth/WiFi, CIS, RF, and MCUs [1][4]. - The collaboration between chip suppliers and model developers is forming a rapid iteration development loop, optimizing chip performance [3]. Group 4: Capacity Expansion - Both SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor are expanding their production capacity and upgrading technology to meet the growing demand [4]. - SMIC is increasing its 7nm/14nm capacity, while Hua Hong plans to migrate to 28nm in its next fab [4]. Group 5: Valuation Reassessment - Goldman Sachs believes that the market is reassessing the valuations of Chinese semiconductor companies, leading to updated valuation models [4]. - The target price for Hua Hong Semiconductor is based on a new expected P/E ratio of 68.8 for 2028, reflecting a significant increase from the previous 51.5 [4]. - For SMIC, the target price is based on a new expected P/E ratio of 62.9 for 2028, with an A-H share premium of 196% [5].

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs has issued a bullish outlook on the Chinese semiconductor industry, raising target prices for SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor for the fourth time in a month, citing long-term benefits from AI-driven chip demand growth [1] Group 1: Target Price Adjustments - Goldman Sachs raised the 12-month target price for SMIC's H-shares to HKD 117.0 and A-shares to CNY 211.0 [1][4] - Hua Hong Semiconductor's target price was increased by 34% to HKD 117.0, maintaining a "buy" rating for both companies [1][3] Group 2: AI Model Breakthroughs - The recent release of DeepSeek's experimental model DeepSeek V3.2-Exp significantly reduced training and inference costs, with API costs dropping over 50% [1][2] - The input cost is now between CNY 0.2-2 per million tokens, while the output cost is CNY 3 per million tokens [2] Group 3: Demand for Semiconductor Components - The explosion of AI applications in China is expected to create massive demand for various chips, including PMICs, Bluetooth/WiFi, CIS, RF, and MCUs [1][3] - AI's widespread adoption will drive increased demand for peripheral chips, which are primarily produced by SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor [3] Group 4: Capacity Expansion and Technological Upgrades - Both companies are steadily expanding their production capacity and upgrading technology, with SMIC increasing its 7nm/14nm capacity and Hua Hong planning to migrate to 28nm in its next fab [3] - The optimistic outlook for China's AI ecosystem is leading to a revaluation of semiconductor companies in the market [3] Group 5: Valuation Models - Goldman Sachs updated its valuation models, raising Hua Hong Semiconductor's target price based on a new expected P/E ratio of 68.8 for 2028 [3] - SMIC's H-share target price was also raised to HKD 117.0, reflecting a new expected P/E ratio of 62.9 for 2028 [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (首次覆盖) [3] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 25.731 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.41%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.323 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 498.11% [3][5] - The growth in demand for smartphones and automobiles has driven high growth in the company's CIS (CMOS Image Sensor) business, with smartphone CIS revenue increasing by 26.01% to 9.802 billion yuan and automotive CIS revenue reaching 5.905 billion yuan [5] - The company maintains a high level of R&D investment, which accounted for 15% of semiconductor design sales revenue, ensuring product upgrades and enhancing competitiveness [5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company's CIS business generated 19.190 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for 74.76% of its main business income, an increase of 23.52% from the previous year [5] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 4.406 billion yuan, 5.301 billion yuan, and 6.000 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 34.3, 28.5, and 25.2 [5][7] - The company's R&D expenses have consistently increased, with a 10.89% year-on-year growth in 2024, indicating a strong commitment to innovation and product development [5] Market Data - As of April 16, 2025, the company's stock price is 124.22 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 150.61 billion yuan [3][5] - The company has a 52-week price range of 81.41 to 161.96 yuan, indicating volatility in its stock performance [3]