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美欧国家安全范式的深刻变革与外溢影响:环球市场动态2025年12月18日
citic securities· 2025-12-18 02:59
Market Overview - A-shares experienced a significant rebound on Wednesday, with Muxi Co. (688802 CH) surging 692% on its debut[3] - The Hang Seng Index rose by 233 points (+0.92%) to close at 25,468 points, driven by technology and consumer stocks[12] - U.S. stocks fell sharply, with the Dow Jones down 228 points (-0.47%) and the S&P 500 down 1.16%[10] Economic Indicators - U.S. inflation data is anticipated to influence the Federal Reserve's stance on further rate cuts, with expectations of a CPI increase exceeding 3%[31] - The UK inflation rate dropped to an eight-month low, exceeding expectations, which has bolstered market rate cut predictions[6] Commodity and Currency Movements - International oil prices rebounded from a four-and-a-half-year low, with NY crude oil rising 1.21% to $55.94 per barrel[28] - Gold prices approached record highs, with NY gold increasing by 0.96% to $4,347.5 per ounce[28] Fixed Income Market - U.S. Treasury yields showed mixed results, with the 10-year yield rising by 0.8 basis points to 4.15%[31] - The auction for 20-year U.S. Treasury bonds was lackluster, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.67, below the average of 2.73[31] Sector Performance - In the U.S., the technology sector led declines, with the information technology index falling 2.19%[10] - In Asia, the KOSPI index in South Korea rose by 1.4% to 4,056.4 points, while the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.19%[22] Corporate Highlights - Micron Technology (MU US) reported a strong earnings outlook, with Q1 EPS exceeding market expectations by 16%[9] - MongoDB (MDB US) announced significant revenue growth and raised its full-year guidance, driven by an increase in AI-native customer acquisitions[9] Geopolitical Developments - The U.S. is reportedly preparing to impose new sanctions on Russia amid ongoing geopolitical tensions[6] - The EU has upgraded its economic security framework, indicating a rise in trade disruption probabilities[6]