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广东基孔肯雅热病例数累计逾七千例 缘何药企研发疫苗积极性不高
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-14 14:47
Core Viewpoint - The spread of Chikungunya fever in Guangdong has exceeded 7,000 local cases, with limited vaccine development interest from domestic companies due to market uncertainties and high costs associated with vaccine research and development [1][2]. Group 1: Disease Overview - Chikungunya fever is an acute infectious disease caused by the Chikungunya virus, primarily transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes, characterized by fever, joint pain, and rash [1]. - There is currently no specific treatment for Chikungunya fever, and no vaccines are available for use in China [1]. Group 2: Vaccine Development Challenges - Domestic vaccine companies show low enthusiasm for developing a Chikungunya vaccine due to limited market potential, high research and development costs, and the risk of low sales post-development [2]. - The estimated costs for vaccine development phases are approximately 30 million yuan for preclinical and phase I trials, 30 million yuan for phase II, and 50 to 80 million yuan for phase III, with total costs potentially reaching several hundred million yuan depending on disease prevalence [1][2]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The Chikungunya virus has only one serotype, and while technical routes for vaccine development are feasible, the economic value of developing such a vaccine is considered limited due to the low incidence of cases compared to other common infectious diseases [2]. - Companies are more likely to invest in vaccines with higher return on investment, and significant investment in Chikungunya vaccine development may only occur if there is a clear national strategic reserve demand or limitations on imported vaccines [2]. Group 4: Prevention Measures - Preventive measures against Chikungunya fever focus on mosquito control, including eliminating breeding sites and using repellents, incense, and mosquito nets [3].
广东基孔肯雅热病例数累计逾七千例,缘何药企研发疫苗积极性不高
第一财经· 2025-08-14 10:00
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current situation of Chikungunya virus cases in Guangdong, highlighting the lack of vaccine development and the challenges faced by domestic vaccine companies in China [3][4]. Summary by Sections Current Situation - As of August 9, 2025, Guangdong province has reported over 7,000 local cases of Chikungunya fever, with some cases reported in other regions outside Guangdong [3]. Disease Overview - Chikungunya fever is an acute infectious disease caused by the Chikungunya virus, transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes, characterized by fever, joint pain, and rash. There is currently no specific treatment or vaccine available in China [3]. Vaccine Development Challenges - Domestic vaccine companies show low enthusiasm for developing a Chikungunya vaccine due to factors such as market potential, development success rates, costs, competitive landscape, and profit margins. The estimated costs for vaccine development phases range from 30 million to several hundred million yuan [4][5]. - The economic value of developing a Chikungunya vaccine is considered limited due to the disease's transmission being primarily through mosquito vectors concentrated in tropical and subtropical regions, making nationwide spread unlikely [5]. Market Considerations - The current model of "imported cases leading to local transmission" results in annual incidence numbers far lower than common infectious diseases like influenza and hepatitis B, leading companies to prioritize vaccines with higher return on investment [5]. - The traditional vaccine development process could take five to seven years, during which time the market may be dominated by imported vaccines, creating uncertainty for domestic developers [5]. Prevention Measures - Preventive measures against Chikungunya primarily focus on mosquito control, including eliminating breeding sites and using repellents and mosquito nets [6].