Core Insights - The company reported a slight increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.3% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, despite an 8.0% decline in revenue [1] - The gross margin improved to 28.2% in 2025H1 from 27.5% in 2024H1, attributed to automation in production, cost control, and efficiency improvements [1] - The company is focusing on optimizing its customer structure in the environmental business and is cautiously developing its supply chain service platform [2] Financial Performance - In 2025H1, the company achieved revenue of 12.475 billion yuan, down from the previous year, while net profit was 1.046 billion yuan [1] - Interest expenses decreased to 374 million yuan in 2025H1 from 484 million yuan in 2024H1, reflecting improved debt structure [1] - Financial and contract asset impairment losses were reported at 35 million yuan, down from 141 million yuan in the previous year [1] Business Development - The company is actively promoting agricultural applications of its plastic pipe systems, maintaining a gross margin of 29.4% [2] - The renewable energy sector faces challenges such as overcapacity and supply-demand imbalance, prompting the company to adopt a cautious approach and adjust its strategies accordingly [2] - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, with a focus on Southeast Asia, North America, and Africa, including the recent opening of a production base in Ethiopia [3] Strategic Outlook - The company forecasts net profits of 2.201 billion yuan, 2.476 billion yuan, and 2.675 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3] - A target price of 7.10 yuan is set for 2025, based on a 10x PE ratio, translating to 7.80 HKD when considering the exchange rate [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Lesso Group, with a target price of RMB 7.10, which corresponds to HKD 7.80 based on the exchange rate of 0.91 [3][12]. Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, the company's net profit increased by 0.3% year-on-year, reaching RMB 1.046 billion, despite a revenue decline of 8.0% to RMB 12.475 billion. The gross profit margin slightly improved to 28.2% from 27.5% in the previous year, attributed to automation, cost control, and enhanced production efficiency [1][14]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its environmental protection business, enhancing its supply chain service platform, and streamlining its new energy business in response to market challenges [1][14]. - The agricultural application of plastic pipes is being promoted, with the gross profit margin for this segment remaining stable at 29.4% [4][14]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, particularly in Southeast Asia, North America, and Africa, with new production bases established in Tanzania and Ethiopia [4][14]. Financial Summary - The projected net profits for China Lesso Group from 2025 to 2027 are RMB 2.201 billion, RMB 2.476 billion, and RMB 2.675 billion, respectively. The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are RMB 0.71, RMB 0.80, and RMB 0.86 [3][5][12]. - Revenue forecasts indicate a decline of 12% in 2024, followed by a decrease of 4% in 2025, with a recovery expected in subsequent years [5][12]. - The company's financial ratios show a projected improvement in profitability, with a return on equity (ROE) expected to rise from 7.06% in 2024 to 8.57% in 2027 [8][5].