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中谷物流(603565):公司深度报告:内外协同集运巨头,韧性强劲持续分红
Xinda Securities· 2025-11-11 07:50
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [2] Core Views - The company is a leading player in domestic container shipping, with strong profitability and a robust dividend policy. It operates a fleet of 49 vessels with a total capacity of 2.5019 million deadweight tons, including 41 container ships with a capacity of 132,200 TEU. The company's return on equity (ROE) reached 16.86% in 2024, ranking third in the shipping sector [5][18][19]. Summary by Sections 1. Domestic Container Shipping - The company is a leader in domestic container logistics, providing comprehensive logistics services that extend from shipping to land transport. Its core business is supported by a diverse cargo structure, with key cargo types such as paper products, steel, and food each accounting for around 7% of the total [5][7][30][32]. 2. Foreign Trade Chartering - The foreign trade container shipping chartering market has seen increased demand following the Red Sea crisis in December 2023. The company’s fleet aligns well with the market demand for small to medium-sized vessels, and the structure of new contracts is improving, with longer terms and higher rental rates compared to 2024 [6][62][68]. 3. Cash Flow and Dividend Capability - The company plans to distribute 60% of its cumulative distributable profits in cash over the next three years. Historical dividend payout ratios are high, reaching 88% and 90% for 2023 and 2024, respectively [6][8]. 4. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 2.145 billion yuan in 2025, with revenue projections of 10.770 billion yuan. The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 1.02 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.95 [8][10].