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TCL科技(000100):开门启新,多点开花
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-02 07:03
Investment Rating - The investment rating for TCL Technology is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - TCL Technology reported a revenue of 164.823 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 5.47%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.564 billion yuan. In Q1 2025, the revenue was 40.076 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.42%, and a net profit of 1.013 billion yuan, a significant increase of 321.96% [2][6] - The photovoltaic segment showed improvement, with TCL Zhonghuan reporting a net loss of 9.818 billion yuan in 2024, and a loss of 1.906 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a 49% quarter-on-quarter improvement. This aligns with previous expectations of reduced losses [2][12] - The large-size LCD segment experienced both volume and price increases, while OLED turned profitable. The acquisition of LG's Guangzhou line and the repurchase of minority shareholder equity contributed positively to the company's fundamentals [12] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, TCL Technology's total revenue is projected at 164.963 billion yuan, with a gross profit of 19.218 billion yuan, resulting in a gross margin of 12%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.564 billion yuan, with an EPS of 0.08 yuan [18] - The financial forecasts for 2025 and 2026 indicate a revenue increase to 201.570 billion yuan and 225.171 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 5.930 billion yuan and 9.177 billion yuan, leading to EPS of 0.32 yuan and 0.49 yuan [18] - The company is expected to maintain a stable gross margin, with projections of 12% in 2025 and 14% in 2026 [18] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - TCL Technology achieved significant market positions in various segments, ranking second globally in TV panel shipments and display panel shipments, first in LTPS notebook and tablet shipments, and fourth in flexible OLED smartphone panel shipments [12] - The company is enhancing its competitive edge through improved production capacity and operational efficiency, with TCL Zhonghuan's silicon wafer capacity reaching 200GW by the end of Q1 2025 [12]