东吴证券研报指出，行业阶段性影响短期业绩，海格通信新产品拓展可期。主要因行业客户调整及周期 性波动导致合同签订延缓，叠加公司战略性加大新兴领域研发投入，短期利润受挤压。海格通信核心竞 争优势持续强化：公司持续推进"北斗+5G"通导融合芯片研发，与中国移动合作的消费级芯片入选产投 协同十大标杆案例；卫星互联网终端再次中标客户窄带手持项目，巩固先发优势；低空经济领域迭 代"天腾"飞行管理服务平台，发布"天枢"运营平台，对接十余省份项目，并完成飞行汽车首期交付。考 虑到海格通信是无线通信与北斗导航领域龙头，不仅受益于国防信息化的长期趋势，并且积极布局卫星 互联网与低空经济，因此维持"买入"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to industry client adjustments and cyclical fluctuations, alongside increased investment in emerging fields, which has pressured short-term profits [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.229 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.97% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.5138 million yuan, representing a drastic year-on-year decline of 98.72% [1][2]. - The overall gross margin was 27.36%, down by 4.76 percentage points compared to the previous year [3]. Revenue Breakdown - Wireless communication revenue was 690 million yuan, a slight decrease of 5.73%, accounting for 30.93% of total revenue [2]. - Beidou navigation revenue fell to 280 million yuan, down 32.25%, with its share dropping from 15.96% to 12.57% [2]. - Aerospace revenue was 140 million yuan, a minor decline of 11.04% [2]. - Smart ecological revenue was 1.082 billion yuan, down 13.15%, but still contributed nearly half of total revenue [2]. R&D and Strategic Initiatives - The R&D expense ratio reached a historic high of 20.05%, indicating the company's commitment to transformation [3]. - The company is advancing the development of "Beidou + 5G" integrated chips and has collaborated with China Mobile on consumer-grade chips [3]. - The company has initiated a share repurchase plan of 200 to 400 million yuan for equity incentives [3]. Future Outlook - The company has revised its profit forecasts downward, expecting net profits of 334 million yuan and 567 million yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a new estimate of 1.027 billion yuan for 2027 [4]. - Despite the current challenges, the company maintains a "buy" rating due to its leadership in wireless communication and Beidou navigation, benefiting from long-term trends in defense informationization and active engagement in satellite internet and low-altitude economy sectors [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company experienced significant declines in revenue and net profit due to cyclical fluctuations and industry client adjustments, while also increasing investments in key areas such as chips, low-altitude, and satellite internet [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 4.919 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 23.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 53 million yuan, down 92.4% year-on-year [1] - In Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.153 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 52%, and a net loss of 13.18 million yuan, marking a shift from profit to loss [1] - The annual gross margin was 28.79%, down 3.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 2.17%, a decrease of 9.2 percentage points year-on-year [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The wireless communication segment generated revenue of 1.582 billion yuan, down 41% year-on-year, and the Beidou navigation segment reported revenue of 453 million yuan, down 52% year-on-year [1] - The aerospace segment saw a slight increase in revenue to 428 million yuan, up 2% year-on-year, while the digital ecology segment achieved revenue of 2.369 billion yuan, a 1% increase year-on-year [1] - The company is focusing on the development of its chip business, with significant applications in mobile satellite terminal components and successful bids for key projects [1] Group 3: Growth Initiatives - The company has seen rapid growth in its civil products business, with significant orders in transportation, energy, and consumer markets, leading to a more than threefold increase in research contracts in civil fields [2] - The company has successfully developed heavy-duty unmanned aerial vehicles, with the first "Jiutian" model showcased at the Zhuhai Airshow [2] - New growth points are being established in AI unmanned systems, satellite internet, and low-altitude industries, with products designed for various applications and significant advancements in satellite internet projects [2] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to a slowdown in specific customer order rhythms affecting short-term performance, the company anticipates a release of customer order demand in the final year of the 14th Five-Year Plan, projecting net profits of 635 million yuan, 1.076 billion yuan, and 1.514 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a PE ratio of 44X for 2025 [3]