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顾家家居(603816)2025年三季报点评:业绩稳健增长 内外销协同发力
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 00:29
Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for the first three quarters of 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, indicating effective retail transformation and global expansion strategies [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 15.012 billion yuan, net profit of 1.539 billion yuan, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 1.389 billion yuan, representing year-on-year increases of 8.77%, 13.24%, and 13.90% respectively [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 5.211 billion yuan, net profit of 518 million yuan, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 489 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 6.50%, 11.99%, and 11.48% respectively [1]. Business Strategy - The company is implementing a "one body, two wings, dual-core development" strategy, focusing on refined operations in the existing market, which is expected to show strong resilience in domestic sales for Q3 2025 [2]. - The company is enhancing its global layout by establishing production bases in Vietnam, Mexico, and the United States, with plans for a new base in Indonesia, thereby improving its global supply chain [2]. Operational Efficiency - The company achieved a gross profit margin of 31.4% in Q3 2025, an increase of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company reported a decrease in expense ratios for sales, management, and financial costs, with rates of 13.8%, 1.4%, and 0.1% respectively, showing improvements of -0.2, -0.3, and -0.6 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The overall net profit margin reached 9.9%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.5 percentage points [2]. Investment Outlook - As a leading player in the soft furniture industry, the company’s retail transformation and global expansion strategies are expected to create solid barriers to competition, with internal efficiency improvements driving steady profit growth [3]. - Projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.89 billion yuan, 2.10 billion yuan, and 2.30 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 13, 12, and 11 times [3]. - The company is assigned a target price of 38.41 yuan per share based on a 15 times PE ratio for 2026, maintaining a "strong buy" rating [3].