来源：环球零碳 来源：AI生成 摘要： 目前美军各类武器项目高度依赖中国供应链的电池零部件，为人工智能产业提供动力的大型数据中心也面临同样的问题。 撰文 | Penn 编辑 | 小雨 →这是《环球零碳》的第1815篇原创 在AI算力爆发与电力系统承压的双重背景下，美国最焦虑的，不只是芯片和用电问题，还包括电池。 美国地缘政治风险与供应链安全专家伊莱恩·K·德曾斯基指出："当我们思考制造业和国防的未来，以及该如何保护关键供应链时，芯片是大脑，电池是心 脏。" 但美军关键武器系统和硅谷AI巨头发现，支撑AI与国防的那颗"心脏"，并不在自己手中。 以锂电池为主的储能系统是电网的关键支撑。特斯拉创始人马斯克今年10月提出，通过大规模部署工业级电池储能系统，可将美国电网有效发电能力提升 一倍。 这一观点得到了多家华尔街研究机构和分析师的认同和验证。 瑞银预计，到2030年，储能需求将占电池总需求的22%至26%，其重要性正从"边缘变量"跃升为"核心变量"。这一需求爆发的背后，是全球能源结构变革 带来的电力供应缺口——美国电力需求年增速已达3%，而新增发电设施建设周期长达7至10年，储能系统成为弥合这一缺口的唯一现实选项 ...

Core Insights - The rapid growth of artificial intelligence (AI) is pushing the U.S. power grid to its limits, with Elon Musk proposing large-scale deployment of industrial battery storage systems to potentially double the effective generation capacity of the grid [3][5] - The market is increasingly focusing on electrochemical storage and fuel cells as traditional energy sources struggle to meet immediate power demands due to long construction cycles [6][7] Group 1: AI and Power Demand - The AI data centers are expected to create an additional electricity demand of 6-13 gigawatts annually in the U.S. by 2025-2026, leading to a fourfold increase in peak load growth compared to historical averages [5] - The U.S. power grid has a stable output capacity of approximately 1 trillion watts, but the daily usage is only 0.5 trillion watts, indicating a significant gap that can be addressed through battery storage [3][6] Group 2: Energy Shortage and Solutions - There is an estimated power shortfall of 11-20 gigawatts in the U.S., with traditional power generation solutions unable to respond quickly enough due to lengthy construction times [7] - New natural gas projects require a three-year construction period, while nuclear power plants take over ten years, making them inadequate for immediate needs [7] Group 3: Storage Capacity and Market Growth - To address the anticipated power shortfall of 18-27 gigawatts by the end of 2026, the U.S. will need to add 110-205 gigawatt-hours of storage capacity over the next two years, necessitating an annual growth rate of over 50% compared to the 37 gigawatt-hours installed in 2024 [7] - The rapid deployment of electrochemical storage systems, which can be operational in 1 to 1.5 years, positions them as a key solution for short-term power shortages [6][7] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The trend towards increased storage capacity is expected to benefit battery cell manufacturers, storage integrators, and backup power equipment companies [8] - If the Federal Reserve initiates a rate-cutting cycle, it could further enhance the investment returns for solar and storage projects, creating a "double benefit" for the industry [8]

Group 1: Solid-State Battery Conference - The CINE2025 Solid-State Battery Exhibition and Industry Annual Conference will be held from November 6-8, 2025, at the Guangzhou Nansha International Convention Center, featuring over 200 exhibitors and 20,000 professional attendees [2] - The event will include the 2025 CINE Solid-State Battery Golden Award Ceremony and the SSBA Solid-State Battery Industry Alliance Council [2] - Key exhibitors and sponsors include Jin Na Technology, Ru Tian Technology, Hai Si Da Sodium Star, and Rong Jie Energy among others [2] Group 2: AI and Energy Crisis - Elon Musk recently stated that the U.S. power grid has a stable output capacity of approximately 1 trillion watts, with daily usage at only 0.5 trillion watts, suggesting that large-scale industrial battery storage could double the annual power generation [3][5] - Concerns about an energy crisis due to the surge in AI computing power are growing, with projections indicating that U.S. AI data centers will add 6-13 gigawatts of electricity demand annually from 2025 to 2026, leading to a fourfold increase in peak load growth [5] - The traditional power generation construction cycle is lengthy, making electrochemical energy storage a key short-term solution to alleviate power shortages and create significant growth opportunities for related industries [5]