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中鼎股份(000887):毛利率持续向上,大力发展人形机器人业务
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-04-30 09:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 18.854 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.33%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.252 billion yuan, up 10.63% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, the revenue was 4.854 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.45%, and a net profit of 403 million yuan, reflecting an increase of 11.52% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin has been on an upward trend, reaching 22.82% in 2024, an increase of 0.86 percentage points year-on-year, and 23.32% in Q1 2025, up 0.91 percentage points year-on-year. The expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and finance remained stable [1]. - The company is actively expanding its business in the new energy vehicle sector, with sales in this area reaching 7.249 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 40.20% of the total automotive business revenue [2]. - The humanoid robot business is identified as a core strategic area for future development, with a focus on harmonic reducer products and related components. The company has established strategic partnerships to enhance its competitive edge in this field [3]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits of 1.663 billion yuan, 1.868 billion yuan, and 2.111 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.26 yuan, 1.42 yuan, and 1.60 yuan. The PE ratios are projected to be 13.73, 12.22, and 10.82 for the same years [3][5]. - The total revenue is expected to grow from 20.989 billion yuan in 2025 to 26.822 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 12.65% [5]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to remain stable at around 22.8% over the forecast period [11]. Market Data - As of April 29, 2025, the company's stock closed at 17.34 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 22.83 billion yuan [6]. - The stock has shown a 12-month absolute return of 35% and a relative return of 30% compared to the market benchmark [9].