广州花都，采埃孚广州技术中心的实验室里，几名工程师正埋头调试智能底盘系统；惠州大亚湾，埃克 森美孚的高端化工新材料从一套全球领先的裂解装置中不断产出；湛江东海岛，槽罐车排着队，将巴斯 夫（广东）一体化基地的化工原料运往附近的下游企业。 这些繁忙的跨国公司，是广东"经济大省挑大梁"的重要力量。 作为世界级化工综合体，该项目将建起年产160万吨乙烯的灵活进料蒸汽裂解装置，以及两套高性能线 性低密度聚乙烯装置和一套世界最大单体的低密度聚乙烯装置，总产能达到265万吨。此外，还有两套 年产共计95万吨的差异化高性能聚丙烯装置。 9月25日，广东省商务厅公布最新数据显示，今年1-8月广东新设外资企业2.1万个、同比增长34%，实际 使用外资金额（FDI）708.7亿元、同比增长9.4%。 由此，广东将加快构建全球领先的高价值基础化工原料生产能力。广东石油化工学院副院长纪红兵认 为，该项目将涌现一批新产品、新方法、新技术，能有效提升广东的乙烯产能和产业技术水平，从而降 低中国市场对高性能聚烯烃进口的依赖度。 横向对比，广东上述2项关键外资指标增速都显著高于全国平均水平（14.8%、-12.7%），并在东部主要 经济大省中 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 18.854 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.33%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.252 billion yuan, up 10.63% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, the revenue was 4.854 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.45%, and a net profit of 403 million yuan, reflecting an increase of 11.52% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin has been on an upward trend, reaching 22.82% in 2024, an increase of 0.86 percentage points year-on-year, and 23.32% in Q1 2025, up 0.91 percentage points year-on-year. The expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and finance remained stable [1]. - The company is actively expanding its business in the new energy vehicle sector, with sales in this area reaching 7.249 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 40.20% of the total automotive business revenue [2]. - The humanoid robot business is identified as a core strategic area for future development, with a focus on harmonic reducer products and related components. The company has established strategic partnerships to enhance its competitive edge in this field [3]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits of 1.663 billion yuan, 1.868 billion yuan, and 2.111 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.26 yuan, 1.42 yuan, and 1.60 yuan. The PE ratios are projected to be 13.73, 12.22, and 10.82 for the same years [3][5]. - The total revenue is expected to grow from 20.989 billion yuan in 2025 to 26.822 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 12.65% [5]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to remain stable at around 22.8% over the forecast period [11]. Market Data - As of April 29, 2025, the company's stock closed at 17.34 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 22.83 billion yuan [6]. - The stock has shown a 12-month absolute return of 35% and a relative return of 30% compared to the market benchmark [9].

0 1 事 件 概 述 公司披露 2024 年年度报告和 2025 年第一季度报告： 1 ） 2024 年度实现营收 188.54 亿 元 ， 同 比 +9.33% ；归母净利润 12.52 亿元，同比 +10.63% ；扣非归母净利润 10.75 亿元，同比 +10.06% ； 2 ） 2025Q1 营收 48.54 亿元，同比 +3.45% ，环比 +11.37% ；归母净利润 4.03 亿元，同比 +11.52% ，环 比 +101.46% ；扣非归母净利润 3.67 亿元，同比 +21.43% ，环比 +189.02% 。 0 2 分 析 判 断 ► 2024 圆满收官 2025Q1 符合预期 1 ）收入端： 公司 2024Q4 营收 43.59 亿元，同比 -2.50% ，环比 -9.68% ； 2025Q1 营收 48.54 亿 元，同比 +3.45% ，环比 +11.37% ，在手订单释放带动营收稳健增长； 2 ）利润端： 公司 2024Q4 归母净 利润 2.00 亿元，同比 -21.84% ，环比 -40.48% ，同环比下滑系减值影响； 2025Q1 归母净利润 4.03 亿 元，同比 + ...

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 18.854 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.33%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.252 billion yuan, up 10.63% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.854 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.45% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.37%, with a net profit of 403 million yuan, up 11.52% year-on-year and 101.46% quarter-on-quarter [1][2] Revenue Performance - In Q4 2024, the company recorded a revenue of 4.359 billion yuan, down 2.50% year-on-year and 9.68% quarter-on-quarter, while Q1 2025 showed a recovery with a revenue of 4.854 billion yuan [2] - The company’s order backlog has contributed to stable revenue growth, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [2] Profitability Analysis - The gross profit margin for Q4 2024 was 24.52%, an increase of 1.22 percentage points year-on-year and 2.07 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, while Q1 2025 saw a gross profit margin of 23.32%, up 0.90 percentage points year-on-year but down 1.20 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] - The net profit for Q4 2024 was 200 million yuan, down 21.84% year-on-year and 40.48% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to impairment impacts [2] Cost Structure - The company’s expense ratios for Q4 2024 were 1.54% for sales, 5.89% for management, 3.98% for R&D, and 0.87% for financial expenses, showing a mixed trend in year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter changes [2] - In Q1 2025, the expense ratios were 2.37% for sales, 5.51% for management, 5.04% for R&D, and 0.92% for financial expenses, reflecting normal fluctuations [2] Business Development - The company is actively expanding in the new energy vehicle sector, focusing on intelligent chassis systems and has achieved significant order growth in thermal management, lightweighting, and air suspension systems [3] - The company has signed multiple strategic cooperation agreements to expand its humanoid robot product line, indicating a strong commitment to this emerging market [3] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 21.68 billion, 24.39 billion, and 27.69 billion yuan, with net profits of 1.65 billion, 1.89 billion, and 2.17 billion yuan respectively [4] - The company is expected to maintain a strong market position in the automotive sector while advancing in the robotics field, potentially leading to increased performance and valuation [4]