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建信期货铜期货日报-20250722
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-22 02:10
Report Information - Report Name: Copper Futures Daily Report [2] - Date: July 22, 2025 [3] - Researcher: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [4] Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core View - The macro - level is the main reason for the recent rise in copper prices. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is about to introduce a plan to stabilize growth for industries such as non - ferrous metals, which has raised market expectations for a new round of supply - side reform. With the short - term hype points of copper supply - side reform and a relatively strong fundamental situation, copper prices are expected to rise further [12] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Shanghai copper prices rose, with total positions increasing by 14,000 lots and trading volume significantly expanding. The market maintained a near - month contango structure and a far - month ack structure, and the spot premium rose to 220 due to tight market supply. Domestic social inventories decreased by 24,700 tons to 118,600 tons over the weekend, and low inventories began to affect the spot premium. The LME market had a slight inventory reduction of 100 tons, and the expectation of inventory accumulation continued to suppress the 0 - 3 contango structure. The overseas market was affected by the upcoming US tariff on copper, showing a pattern of strong domestic and weak overseas fundamentals [12] 2. Industry News - In June 2025, China's copper enameled wire exports were 12,222.29 tons, a year - on - year increase of 18.35% and a month - on - month increase of 0.93%. From January to June, the total exports were 69,586.5 tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 25.32% [13] - In June 2025, China imported 34,700 tons of scrap copper ingots (red/purple copper ingots), a month - on - month decrease of 5% and a year - on - year increase of 71%. From January to June, the cumulative imports were 226,700 tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 111% [13] - In June 2025, China imported 68,500 tons of anode copper, a month - on - month decrease of 1.26% and a year - on - year increase of 2.38%. From January to June, the cumulative imports were 382,700 tons, a cumulative year - on - year decrease of 17.56% [13]