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永金证券晨会纪要-20251114
永丰金证券· 2025-11-14 12:19
Market Overview - The report highlights a significant decline in the US stock market, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping as much as 843 points, reflecting a sharp downturn in market sentiment [7][9] - The probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December has decreased to just below 50%, impacting investor confidence [9] - Safe-haven assets like gold have seen increased demand, with spot gold prices rising by 1.18% to a high of $4,245.13 per ounce [7] Key Company Insights - Tencent (00700) reported a 18% increase in adjusted profit for Q3, reaching 70.6 billion RMB, with revenue up 15% to 192.9 billion RMB, surpassing expectations [11] - JD Group (09618) saw a 56% year-on-year decrease in adjusted net profit to 5.8 billion RMB, although this was above market expectations [11] - Alibaba (09988) is preparing to overhaul its mobile AI application "Tongyi" to compete more closely with OpenAI's ChatGPT, aiming to enhance profitability from individual users [11] Industry Trends - The report notes a growing enthusiasm among mainland investors for Hong Kong stocks, with the scale of mainland Hong Kong stock funds expanding significantly to 1,033 billion RMB, a quarterly increase of 68% [11] - The pharmaceutical sector is highlighted with Gilead Sciences (1672) reporting a revenue of 104 million RMB for the first half of 2025, more than doubling year-on-year, and a narrowing loss of 87.95 million RMB [21] - Semiconductor demand is recovering, driven by domestic self-sufficiency and new AI requirements, benefiting companies like SMIC (981) [22] Economic Data - China's industrial production for October increased by 5.5% year-on-year, while retail sales grew by 2.8% [18] - Hong Kong's GDP for Q3 showed a seasonally adjusted increase of 0.7% and a year-on-year growth of 3.8% [18] - The US Producer Price Index for October rose by 2.5% year-on-year, indicating inflationary pressures [18]
信达国际控股港股晨报-20251114
Xin Da Guo Ji Kong Gu· 2025-11-14 01:55
每日港股評析 港股早晨快訊 2025 年 11 月 142012 日星期五 -01-17 市場回顧 中港股市短期展望 恒指阻力參考 27,381 點:聯儲局 10 月再次鷹派減息,2026 年減息空間 少於預期。中美元首 10 月會面取得成果,美方取消 10%芬太尼關稅,暫 停一年 24%對等關稅。兩國緊張局勢暫時緩和,核心矛盾延後解決。內 地第三季經濟進一步降溫,十五五規劃提出擴大內需及促進科技自立自 強,方向符合預期,後續留意其他重要會議以跟進政策落地情況。基於短 期內港股企業盈利難有明顯改善,中美貿易戰局勢反覆,以及聯儲局減息 路徑未明,恒指短期阻力參考 10 月高位 27,381 點。 短期看好板塊 今日市場焦點 ➢ 中國 1-10 月固投、工業、零售;香港第三季 GDP; 首程控股(0697)、敏華控股(1999)等業績; 宏觀焦點 ➢ 內地10月新增貸款2200億元人民幣,遜預期; 內地多家中小銀行中長期定存產品密集下架; 報道指抵制低價「內捲」,內地多家矽片企業聯合挺價; 特朗普簽署臨時撥款法案,結束聯邦政府停擺; 企業消息 ➢ 騰訊控股(0700)第三季經調整盈利升18%,勝預期; 京東集團( ...