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出口宽松预期下,抢出口+供需改善有望推动稀土供需共振
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-12-02 23:30
Industry Overview - The domestic market prices for gadolinium and europium remain stable, with gadolinium oxide priced at 185,000 yuan/ton, europium oxide at 180,000 yuan/ton, gadolinium iron alloy at 180,000 yuan/ton, and yttrium oxide at 49,000 yuan/ton [1] - The light rare earth market is experiencing price increases, but downstream demand is still in a stage of on-demand procurement, indicating that prices are likely to fluctuate in the short term [1] Global Market Dynamics - Global production of rare earth permanent magnets is still highly concentrated in China, and the release of overseas production capacity will take time. China remains the only country with a complete rare earth industrial chain [1] - The overall scale of the rare earth industry chain in the West is significantly lower than that of China, with notable shortcomings in their industrial chains [1] Supply and Demand Outlook - As of December, smelting plants may face mass shutdowns due to policy and raw material issues. In October, China's magnetic material exports increased by 16% year-on-year but decreased by 5% month-on-month [1] - Expectations for more relaxed export conditions in the future lead to a more optimistic outlook on demand. The combination of external export competition and ongoing supply-side reforms suggests a potential resonance in rare earth supply and demand, with expectations for continued valuation and performance growth in the rare earth sector [1] Company Insights - Jinli Permanent Magnet is identified as a leading supplier of high-performance rare earth permanent magnet materials [1] - Inlohua primarily engages in the production and sales of neodymium-iron-boron magnetic materials, micro-special motors, health equipment, and electronic acoustic products. Currently, the company's motors and reducers have limited applications in industrial robots [1]