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谁在狂买寒武纪?
3 6 Ke· 2025-09-03 09:04
Core Viewpoint - Cambricon, an AI chip company established only 9 years ago, has seen its stock price surpass that of Kweichow Moutai, reaching a market capitalization of over 600 billion yuan, earning it the nickname "King of Cold" among investors. However, this rapid rise also signals the beginning of a new phase filled with challenges for the company [1][12]. Group 1: Market Performance - Since August 27, Cambricon's stock price briefly surpassed Kweichow Moutai for 7 minutes, leading to a fierce competition for market dominance. The stock price continued to rise, reaching a historical high market capitalization of 664.3 billion yuan on August 28 [2]. - On September 2, Cambricon's stock price peaked at 1,500 yuan per share during trading but closed at 1,480 yuan, with a market capitalization of 619.2 billion yuan, while Kweichow Moutai closed at 1,491 yuan [2]. - As of September 2, Cambricon's total market capitalization ranked 21st in the A-share market, equivalent to 77% of Intel's market value, surpassing major companies like Midea Group and CITIC Securities [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, Cambricon reported revenue of 2.881 billion yuan, a staggering year-on-year increase of 4,347.82%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.038 billion yuan, marking a turnaround from previous losses, with a gross margin of 55.93% [6]. - From 2017 to 2024, Cambricon faced continuous losses totaling 5.5 billion yuan due to insufficient commercialization, but the recent financial report showcased a significant recovery [6]. Group 3: Customer Demand and Orders - The surge in Cambricon's performance is attributed to the explosive demand for computing power from domestic major clients, particularly as internet giants have shown increased investment in AI [6][7]. - In the second quarter of 2025, Cambricon's cloud intelligent chip orders reached a record high of 12,000 units, with internet client revenue increasing from 8% to 22% year-on-year, indicating a notable acceleration in commercialization [7]. - Cambricon's top five clients accounted for 85.31% of accounts receivable and contract assets, with the largest client contributing 79.15% of revenue in 2024 [7]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Despite its rapid growth, Cambricon faces significant competition, particularly from internet giants that are increasingly pursuing self-developed chips to control costs and technology [12][13]. - Companies like Baidu, Tencent, and Alibaba are investing in their own chip development, which complicates the relationship with upstream chip suppliers like Cambricon [12][13]. - Cambricon's revenue of approximately 2.9 billion yuan in the first half of the year is still significantly lower compared to Nvidia's revenue of about 597.3 billion yuan and Kweichow Moutai's 91 billion yuan during the same period [15]. Group 5: Research and Development - Cambricon maintained a high level of R&D investment, with 456 million yuan allocated in the first half of the year, representing 15.85% of revenue, although this is a decline of 675.07% year-on-year [15]. - The company is advancing towards the next generation of 3nm process chips, with the Shiyuan 690 chip entering the final testing phase, aiming to compete with Nvidia's H100 chip [10].