Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing risk of fund liquidation for many initiated funds due to persistent scale challenges, despite some funds managing to attract additional investments and avoid closure [2][3][8]. Group 1: Fund Performance and Challenges - Several initiated funds are facing imminent liquidation, with a notable example being a fund that will terminate if its scale remains below 200 million yuan by November 2025 [3]. - As of the end of Q3, some funds, including certain pension FOFs, have scales of only a few million yuan, indicating a high risk of liquidation if no new investments are made [3]. - The phenomenon of "self-rescue" is observed in some funds, where temporary inflows allowed them to surpass the 200 million yuan threshold, thus avoiding liquidation [4]. Group 2: Successful Funds - Some initiated funds have become "star products," significantly increasing their scale and avoiding survival crises. For instance, the Yongying Technology Select fund has achieved a return of 246.27% and a scale of 11.52 billion yuan [5]. - Other funds, such as Yongying Advanced Manufacturing Select, have also surpassed 20 billion yuan in scale, demonstrating that strong performance can attract substantial investments [5]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Fund Establishment - The timing of fund establishment plays a crucial role in performance, with many initiated funds launched during market downturns, allowing them to acquire undervalued assets that can appreciate when market sentiment improves [6]. - The lower establishment threshold for initiated funds enables quicker launches during market lows, with over 300 initiated products established in 2022 alone [6]. Group 4: Industry Competition and Fund Liquidation - The accelerated pace of initiated fund liquidations reflects intense competition within the fund industry, with resources concentrating on high-quality funds [8]. - The ongoing coexistence of fund liquidations and new fund launches indicates a challenging environment where only funds with strong performance and competitive advantages are likely to survive [8].

Core Insights - The third quarter data has raised alarms for many initiated funds, with a significant number facing liquidation due to scale challenges, despite some funds managing to attract additional investments and avoid closure [1][2][6] - The trend of initiated funds exiting the market is accelerating, while new products continue to be launched, indicating a competitive environment where only a few funds are able to thrive [2][6][7] Fund Liquidation Risks - Several initiated funds, including Huatai Asset Management's fund, are at risk of liquidation if their scale remains below 200 million yuan by November 2025, highlighting the stringent scale requirements [2] - As of the end of the third quarter, some pension FOF funds have scales as low as several million yuan, indicating a high likelihood of liquidation without new investments [2] - The third quarter saw total subscription shares for these funds reach 291 million, suggesting a potential short-term influx of capital to meet scale thresholds, but also a significant amount of redemptions, indicating a "quick in and out" strategy by investors [3] Successful Fund Growth - Despite the challenges, some initiated funds have successfully increased their scale, with funds like Yongying Technology Smart Selection achieving a cumulative growth of 246.27% and a scale of 11.52 billion yuan [4] - Other funds, such as Yongying Advanced Manufacturing Smart Selection, have also surpassed 20 billion yuan in scale, demonstrating that strong performance can attract significant investments [4] Market Dynamics - Initiated funds often emerge during market downturns, allowing them to capitalize on undervalued assets when market sentiment improves, leading to substantial returns [5] - The design of initiated funds allows for diverse and personalized investment strategies, which can enhance their appeal and growth potential [5] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with nearly 20 new active equity initiated funds announced since October, reflecting ongoing interest despite the liquidation risks faced by many [7] Challenges and Industry Outlook - The accelerated pace of fund liquidations indicates a survival of the fittest scenario, where only funds with strong performance and market recognition will thrive [6][7] - The reliance on institutional funding and high operational costs for smaller funds can hinder their growth and attractiveness to new investors [6] - The ongoing trend of fund liquidations may lead to increased caution among investors, who will likely demand higher performance and management standards from funds [7]