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飞龙股份(002536):汽车水泵领军企业,AIDC领域再出发
Huafu Securities· 2025-08-14 13:40
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, Fly Dragon Co., Ltd. [5] Core Views - Fly Dragon Co., Ltd. is a leading automotive parts manufacturer that is expanding into the AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) sector. The company has a diversified product portfolio and is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand in both traditional automotive and new energy vehicle markets [2][4][13]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 1952, Fly Dragon Co., Ltd. initially focused on automotive engine pumps and has since expanded into electronic pumps and data center liquid cooling pumps. The company is also venturing into robotics [2][13]. - The revenue composition for the first half of 2025 includes 49% from energy-saving components, 39% from thermal management parts, 9% from new energy thermal management components, and 2% from liquid cooling and other businesses [2]. AIDC Sector - The trend towards liquid cooling in data centers is driven by increased power density, the need to lower PUE (Power Usage Effectiveness), and cost efficiency. Fly Dragon has developed a range of liquid cooling pumps suitable for various applications [3][39]. - The company has launched three series of liquid cooling pumps with flow rates from 60L/min to 1200L/min, targeting different cooling scenarios in data centers [3]. New Energy Vehicle Business - Fly Dragon holds a leading market share in the electronic pump sector, which is expected to grow due to the increasing demand for new energy vehicles. The company ranks fourth among electronic pump suppliers in 2024 [4][18]. - The company has a designed production capacity of 9.2 million electronic pumps per year, which supports its growth in the new energy vehicle market [4]. Traditional Automotive Business - The traditional automotive segment continues to develop steadily, with significant market share in mechanical pumps and exhaust manifolds. The company has a planned production capacity of 11 million mechanical pumps and 6.5 million exhaust manifolds [4][18]. - The turbocharger business is also growing, with a projected CAGR of 23% from 2020 to 2024, driven by the increasing demand for fuel-efficient vehicles [4][18]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 49.58 billion, 52.78 billion, and 55.95 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with a CAGR of 6.22%. Net profits are projected to be 4.49 billion, 5.28 billion, and 6.18 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 17.34% during the same period [5][6]. - The current PE ratios are estimated at 34, 29, and 25 for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, indicating a potential for valuation premium due to the expected growth in data center liquid cooling and stable traditional automotive business [5].