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通合科技(300491):充电业务稳增长,AIDC献增量
HTSC· 2025-07-22 10:53
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is a leading enterprise in charging modules, focusing on power electronic products centered around DC power, with balanced development in three strategic directions: new energy vehicles, smart grids, and aerospace [1][5] - The company is expected to achieve stable growth through multi-business collaboration, despite a decline in profitability due to intensified competition in the charging pile market [1][4] Charging Business - In 2024, the charging and swapping business revenue is projected to be 783 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 20.4%, driven by strong downstream demand, with a total of 4.222 million new charging infrastructure units added in China, up 24.6% year-on-year [2] - The gross margin for this segment is 21.26%, down 6.32 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to price reductions caused by increased industry competition [2] Smart Grid Business - The smart grid revenue for 2024 is expected to reach 211 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.5%, with a gross margin of 36.92%, down 1.73 percentage points due to rising raw material costs [3] - The core product in this segment, the power operation power supply, maintains a leading market share, and revenue is expected to grow steadily in 2025 due to increased investment in the power grid [3] Financial Projections - The company’s net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 79 million RMB in 2025 and 116 million RMB in 2026, with significant downward adjustments from previous estimates [4][17] - The target price for the company is set at 20.25 RMB, based on a projected PE ratio of 45 times for 2025 [4][5]