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安恒信息(688023):向AI安全迈进,新领域有望突破
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-18 09:39
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][30][40] Core Insights - The company is advancing towards AI security, with expectations for the industry to bottom out in 2025. The company's foundational products have accumulated capabilities in offense and defense, and the subsequent focus on situational awareness platforms has enabled a transition to big data security capabilities. AI further enhances traditional big data capabilities, allowing the company to upgrade its original platform capabilities and reshape security with AI [1][7][28] - Traditional business remains strong, with initial value seen in AI security. The company maintains a top-three market share in foundational products such as database auditing, WAF, and log auditing. The situational awareness platform leads the industry, with a 13.7% market share in data security platforms, ranking first. The company has also achieved significant efficiency improvements in AI security products [2][15][18] - The company has seen a notable decrease in expenses, leading to a gradual emergence of positive operating leverage. In 2024, the company is expected to incur a loss of 198 million yuan, a 45% reduction from the previous year, primarily due to enhanced expense control [3][30][33] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company is projected to generate revenues of 2,043 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 5.9% from 2023, with a net profit forecast of -198 million yuan. The company anticipates a return to profitability in 2025 with a net profit of 42 million yuan [4][40] - The company’s revenue structure includes foundational products, security platforms, and security services, with expected revenue growth rates of approximately 5% to 12% from 2025 to 2027 [39][40] AI and RWA Opportunities - The company has made significant strides in AI security, with AI-related revenues exceeding 79 million yuan in 2024. The partnership with the Zhejiang Big Data Exchange Center since 2020 has positioned the company well for opportunities in the RWA (Real World Asset) era [2][28][29] Market Position - The company continues to hold a leading position in the market, with foundational products maintaining a market share of over 72% and a strong presence in managed security services (MSS) [15][21][28]