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药明合联(02268.HK):上调全年收入指引 加码长期资本开支
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-25 03:13
Core Viewpoint - The company has demonstrated significant revenue growth and has raised its full-year revenue guidance, reflecting confidence in the industry and its own future development [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 62.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 750 million yuan, up 52.7% year-on-year [1]. - The company's gross margin reached 36.1% in the first half of 2025, an increase of 4.0 percentage points year-on-year, driven by improved capacity utilization and operational efficiency [2]. Group 2: Market Position and Orders - The company's global market share is expected to rise to 22.2% by the first half of 2025, supported by a backlog of unfulfilled orders amounting to 1.33 billion USD, which is a 57.9% increase year-on-year [1]. - The company signed 37 new iCMC projects in the first half of 2025, setting a historical record, with new order amounts increasing by 48.4% year-on-year [1]. Group 3: Capital Expenditure and Growth Strategy - The company plans to increase long-term capital expenditures, with cumulative capital spending expected to exceed 7 billion yuan by 2029, focusing on expanding domestic and international production capacity [2]. - The company is actively developing new ADC and XDC businesses, completing over 2,300 early-stage research projects in the first half of 2025, with a significant portion focused on differentiated targets and new indications [2]. Group 4: Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 1.29, 1.78, and 2.45 yuan, respectively, reflecting the company's strong growth potential as a leader in the global ADC CRDMO market [3]. - A target price of 65.82 HKD has been set using the DCF valuation method, maintaining a "buy" rating based on the company's long-term development potential [3].
药明合联(02268):2025 年中报点评:上调全年收入指引,加码长期资本开支
Orient Securities· 2025-08-23 11:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company has raised its full-year revenue guidance from 35% to 45% due to strong order backlog and capacity release [8] - The company is a global leader in ADC CRDMO with significant long-term growth potential, leading to an adjusted target price of HKD 65.82 [2] - The company plans to increase long-term capital expenditures to expand domestic and international capacity, with cumulative capital expenditures expected to exceed RMB 7 billion by 2029 [8] Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to HKD 5.876 billion, HKD 8.062 billion, and HKD 10.693 billion, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 45.0%, 37.2%, and 32.6% [3] - The adjusted earnings per share for 2025-2027 are forecasted to be HKD 1.29, HKD 1.78, and HKD 2.45, respectively [2] - The gross margin is expected to improve to 34.9% by 2025, with net profit margin stabilizing around 26.4% [3] Market Performance - The company's stock price as of August 21, 2025, was HKD 59.05, with a 52-week high of HKD 64.45 and a low of HKD 17.90 [4] - The company has shown strong absolute performance over the past year, with a 220.58% increase [5]