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石药、三生引领BD浪潮!全市场孤品·创新药ETF天弘(517380)连续3日“吸金”1.15亿元,标的指数盘中跌超1.5%后回升翻红
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 05:32
截至2026年1月9日 13:15,创新药ETF天弘(517380)盘中换手2.54%,成交4041.23万元。跟踪的恒生沪深港创新药精选50指数 (HSSSHID)一度跌超1.5%,随后反转拉升翻红。成分股药明合联(02268)上涨3.14%,迪哲医药(688192)上涨2.92%,皓元医药 (688131)上涨2.48%,绿叶制药(02186)上涨2.03%,美迪西(688202)上涨1.89%。 拉长时间看,截至1月8日,创新药ETF天弘(517380)最新规模达15.97亿元,最新份额达19.80亿份,创成立以来新高。 从资金净流入方面来看,创新药ETF天弘(517380)近3天获得连续资金净流入,最高单日获得8941.75万元净流入,合计"吸 金"1.15亿元。 【产品亮点】 创新药ETF天弘(517380),对应场外联接基金(A类:014564;C类:014565)。 【机构观点】 万联证券指出,2025年FDA批准新药的创新"质量"提升和技术平台多元化,国内药企崭露头角。建议聚焦前沿技术平台,重点 关注拥有ADC、siRNA、细胞基因治疗(CGT)等前沿技术平台的公司;建议布局具有"出海"潜力的 ...
小核酸技术逐渐成熟,关注科创创新药ETF(589720)、创新药ETF国泰(517110)
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-01-08 01:31
创新药板块表现亮眼。科创创新药ETF(589720)大涨4.06%,创新药ETF国泰(517110)涨2.80%。 创新药板块经历回调后性价比显现,伴随着海外龙头已上市小核酸药物展现出较大商业化潜力,海内外 小核酸在研管线数据的密集发布,小核酸技术路径逐渐走向成熟。本周瑞博生物即将登陆港股市场,有 望进一步催化市场情绪。 展望后市,预计GLP-1更多适应症突破、小核酸药物、ADC多点突破值得期待;短期可关注与脑机接 口、小核酸等主题共振机会;产业层面:1月中旬JPM会议、5月ASCO年会等关键会议或密集披露临床 数据,业绩期商业化公司表现值得期待。若持续有高质量数据读出催化,可能驱动资金回流。可以关注 聚焦科创板创新药企业,覆盖生物制药、化学制药等领域,代表创新药产业基本面景气度的科创创新药 ETF(589720)和聚焦于沪港深三地市场中从事化学、生物创新药研发及相关产业链服务的创新药ETF 国泰(517110)。 风险提示: 来源:WIND 消息面上,Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals于2026年1月6日公布了其两款基于RNAi技术的减重药物(ARO- INHBE和ARO-ALK7)的1/2 ...
创新研发赋能,珍宝岛药业将逐步迈入收获期
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2025-12-31 05:41
珍宝岛药业没有止步于传统中药业务,特别是随着近年来中医药获得全方位政策支持,国务院办公厅 2025年印发《关于提升中药质量促进中医药产业高质量发展的意见》,为中医药产业高质量发展提供了 政策支撑。国内中医药产业也正沿着高质量发展的轨道前行,中药领域的科技创新也展现出不俗的发展 动能。 今年,珍宝岛药业1.1类中药创新药清降和胃颗粒迎来关键节点,其Ⅱ期临床试验在长沙市第三医院实 现全国首例患者入组。该品种主要针对非糜烂性胃食管反流病(NERD)寒热错杂证这一西医治疗手段 匮乏的复杂证型,借助整体调节优势,有望填补中医证候治疗市场空白。Ⅱ期临床的启动,也标志着其 研发正式迈入验证有效性与安全性的成药性转化核心阶段,如果能够成功上市,按照现有规定,该品种 将享有市场独占期与价格优势。不仅将打开十亿级细分市场,也有望提升公司管线整体估值溢价。 另据东方财富Choice数据,由于上述Ⅱ期临床试验的启动,珍宝岛药业今年9月25日还新增"创新药"概 念,不难看出业界对该产品的认可。 生物药赛道投资进入价值兑现期 中药业务夯实基本盘,重磅品种清降和胃颗粒有望填补中医证候治疗空白,潜在市场超十亿元;数年前 就着手布局的生物药赛 ...
医药深度复盘-最新观点-风险落地-需求共振-CXO行情蓄势待发
2025-12-29 01:04
Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The pharmaceutical sector is experiencing structural heat, with certain stocks entering a value range, indicating potential for rebound. The focus for 2026 includes three main narratives: innovation going global, turnaround from difficulties, and impulse-driven growth, particularly in BD 2.0, small nucleic acids, and supply chains [1][2] Key Insights and Arguments - The CRO (Contract Research Organization) industry has seen short-term risks largely mitigated, with limited impact from the U.S. NBA 2026 Act. The CRO supply chain is expected to experience a resonance of internal and external demand starting in 2024, leading to a strong fundamental outlook by 2026 [1][4] - In the clinical CRO space, companies like Tigermed are showing significant order growth, with EPS expected to experience nonlinear growth, enhancing stock price elasticity. The peptide CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization) sector is also expected to grow at least 25% by 2026, with companies like WuXi AppTec and Notch being noteworthy [1][4][5] - CDMO companies are driven by large product orders, with ADC (Antibody-Drug Conjugates) and small nucleic acids identified as key future growth areas. ADC commercialization is entering a boom phase, benefiting companies like WuXi Biologics, Haoyuan, and Kelaiying [1][6] Additional Important Content - The Ant Group's healthcare model, Antifufu, aims to become a leading health service consultation platform, targeting 500 million registered users and over 100 million monthly active users by the end of 2026. The healthcare team has been elevated to a business group, aiming for revenue exceeding 100 billion [2][7] - Antifufu's technology is based on the "Bailing" general model, integrating Deepseek and Tongyi Qianwen technologies, utilizing proprietary medical data from various sources, including 700 million medical insurance users and 40,000 doctors from acquired platforms [2][8] - User retention strategies for Antifufu include health goal setting and integration with wearable devices, aiming for increased interaction frequency [2][9] - The commercialization strategy includes paid consultations, medication purchases, and health membership services, with B2B collaborations with insurance companies for disease-specific insurance products [2][10] - Collaboration with Alibaba Health leverages a vast user base and medical data, enhancing competitive advantages in the healthcare sector [2][11] - The AI-powered "Famous Doctor Avatar" service is currently in a testing phase, with plans for monetization contingent on achieving high diagnostic accuracy [2][12]
医药生物行业跟踪周报:2026年战略性布局创新药,其性价比高-20251228
Soochow Securities· 2025-12-28 13:26
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry [1] Core Insights - The number of innovative drugs listed in China continues to grow, with domestic products accounting for approximately half of the total market share. The R&D capabilities for innovative drugs in China are also increasing, attracting global attention. Notably, the number and value of domestic innovative drug business development (BD) transactions have reached new highs, with ADC, bispecific antibodies, small nucleic acids, and CAR-T being the four key R&D directions to watch in 2026 [15][21][22] - The Chinese innovative drug market has seen a significant increase in the number of new drug applications (NDA), with domestic products making up a growing proportion. From 2017 to 2024, the number of innovative drugs listed in China rose from 41 to 92, with domestic products accounting for 50% of the total by 2024 [17][21] - The report highlights that the license-out transaction volume and total amount for Chinese companies reached $92.03 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a 77% increase compared to the total for 2024. The upfront payment for license-out transactions has also surpassed the total financing amount in the primary market for the same period [22][25] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The A-share pharmaceutical index has shown a year-to-date increase of 14.29%, while the Hang Seng Healthcare Index has surged by 62.29% [3][8] - The report notes that the pharmaceutical sector has experienced fluctuations, with raw materials and medical devices showing positive growth [8] R&D Progress and Company Dynamics - The report provides an overview of the R&D progress for innovative and modified drugs, including approvals and clinical applications [5] - It lists key companies to watch in various sub-sectors, including innovative drugs, research services, and medical devices, with specific recommendations for companies like Innovent Biologics, Hengrui Medicine, and WuXi AppTec [11][12] Market Insights and Regulatory Observations - The report tracks the price-to-earnings ratio of the pharmaceutical index, noting that it is currently lower than historical averages [5] - It emphasizes the importance of the regulatory environment and market dynamics in shaping the future of the pharmaceutical industry [5]
招商证券:医药板块创新药产业链仍是主线 重点关注小核酸等技术方向
智通财经网· 2025-12-19 02:49
智通财经APP获悉,招商证券发布研报称,2026年医药板块在创新出海持续兑现、医疗内需分化的产业 趋势下,有望出现结构行情。创新药产业链仍是主线,除观察二代IO、减重、ADC板块的临床数据 外,尤其关注小核酸技术方向的加速发展;同时关注CXO、上游、原料药中具备景气度与业绩兑现的 公司。此外,院内外医疗需求有望温和复苏,关注医疗器械板块的业绩改善与海外放量,及服务、药 房、中药的个股机会。 招商证券主要观点如下: 药品板块:创新药是主线,BD是线索,重点关注小核酸等技术方向 创新及药品产业链 院内外医疗消费 医疗服务:2025年整体承压,观察2026年基数与DRGs政策稳定后刚需医疗的温和复苏、消费型医疗服 务与产品需求恢复与竞争格局优化,关注药企转型医美产品的机会,关注:爱尔眼科、通策医疗、固生 堂、海吉亚医疗等。中药:展望2026年企稳向上,看好中药OTC恢复和中药处方药创新转型,关注华润 三九、羚锐制药、众生药业、方盛制药、康缘药业等。血制品:供需关系短期波动、价格影响有望在基 数端逐步消化。药房:行业规范化整治加速集中度提升,持续探索新零售业态,关注业绩改善节奏:益 丰药房、大参林等。 风险提示:研发 ...
创新药大爆发
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-12-10 12:13
12.5亿美元首付款,60亿美元总交易额,三生制药与辉瑞的一纸协议,在今年5月点燃了资本市场的热 情,也映照出中国创新药的"DeepSeek时刻"。在本轮行情中,百济神州、百利天恒、诺诚健华等一批企 业凭借技术实力和出海策略脱颖而出,它们可以作为观察行业趋势的典型样本。它们是当下的典型,未 来却绝不是"全部"。 资本市场敏锐地嗅到了变化。今年以来,二级市场上创新药板块成为明星。港股创新药指数一度飙升逾 100%,A股创新药板块亦亮点频现。水涨船高之下,A股和港股千亿市值创新药企已达8家。 与此同时,港交所迎来药企扎堆申报,仅11月就有近10家创新药企递表,其中不乏多轮融资但仍未盈利 的创新药企。资本的热浪席卷着二级市场,而在这背后,中国创新药企正用实实在在的临床数据和商业 价值实现价值重估。 /二级市场狂欢/ 资本市场总是先知先觉。经历近四年的深度调整后,创新药在2025年迎来强势反弹。 东方财富显示,自4月9日阶段性探底后,港股创新药板块发起猛攻,截至11月19日收盘,港股创新药指 数累计涨幅达到110.75%,期间一度涨超100%。A股创新药板块同样大涨。4月9日至11月19日,A股创 新药板块累计上涨4 ...
医药行业跟踪报告:医保商保“双目录”落地,关注支付端增量
Shanghai Aijian Securities· 2025-12-10 02:34
Investment Rating - The report rates the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry as "Outperforming the Market" [1][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in the success rate of negotiations for high-value innovative drugs, with the 2025 National Medical Insurance Directory adding 114 new drugs, including 50 innovative drugs, and achieving a negotiation success rate of 88%, up from 76% in 2024 [3]. - The introduction of a commercial insurance drug directory marks a new phase in healthcare, aiming to create a multi-layered insurance system that complements basic medical insurance, with 19 innovative drugs included in the first version [3]. - The report emphasizes the potential for Chinese innovative drugs to expand internationally, with a focus on ADCs, bispecific antibodies, small nucleic acids, and weight-loss drugs as key investment opportunities [3]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The SW Pharmaceutical and Biotechnology Index decreased by 0.74% in the week of December 1-7, underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, which increased by 1.28% [2]. - Within the pharmaceutical sector, the drug distribution (+6.48%) and offline pharmacy (+1.85%) segments performed relatively well, while raw materials (-2.54%), vaccines (-1.62%), and CXO (-1.29%) segments showed weaker performance [2]. National Medical Insurance Directory - The 2025 version of the National Medical Insurance Directory will officially implement on January 1, 2026, with a total of 3,253 drugs included, enhancing coverage for critical areas such as oncology, chronic diseases, mental health, rare diseases, and pediatric medications [3]. - Notably, 105 of the newly added drugs are exclusive products, including 98 Western medicines and 7 traditional Chinese medicines [3]. Commercial Insurance Drug Directory - The first version of the commercial insurance innovative drug directory includes 19 drugs, focusing on high clinical value and significant patient benefits, which are beyond the scope of basic medical insurance [5]. - This directory includes treatments for rare diseases, cancer therapies, and Alzheimer's disease, establishing a foundation for the development of a multi-tiered medical insurance system [3][5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for the international expansion of Chinese innovative drugs and recommends monitoring ADCs, bispecific antibodies, small nucleic acids, and weight-loss drugs for investment opportunities [3]. - Key companies to watch include Yiming Biotechnology-B, WuXi AppTec, Maiwei Biotechnology-U, Kelun-Biotech, and Kangfang Biotech [3].
多家创新药企业迎来内外资机构密集调研,港股创新药ETF(513120)盘中涨超2%,盘中成交额超47亿元居全市场医药类ETF之首!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 06:37
Group 1: Industry Insights - Multiple innovative pharmaceutical companies have received significant attention from both domestic and foreign institutional investors, with BeiGene receiving inquiries from 88 institutions and Zai Lab from 36 institutions [1] - The Chinese pharmaceutical industry is entering a critical phase characterized by "innovation realization + global layout," supported by population and domestic demand, as well as comprehensive manufacturing capabilities [1] - By 2026, opportunities in innovative commercialization, global breakthroughs, policy optimization, and industry mergers and acquisitions are expected to emerge [1] Group 2: Market Performance - As of November 24, 2025, the CSI Hong Kong Innovative Drug Index rose by 3.05%, with the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (513120) increasing by 2.23% and achieving a trading volume exceeding 4.7 billion [2] - Over the past six months, the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF has accumulated a return of 33.71% [2] - The latest scale of the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF reached 24.102 billion, with continuous net inflows over the past six days totaling 170 million [2] Group 3: Company Developments - Traditional pharmaceutical companies like Heng Rui Medicine and Hansoh Pharmaceutical have successfully completed their innovation transformations, while companies like Bai Li Tianheng have emerged with globally innovative products [1] - Chinese pharmaceutical companies are becoming significant sources of innovation for multinational pharmaceutical firms, with improvements in their global competitiveness [1]
百普赛斯(301080):2025 年三季报点评:收入表现持续亮眼,盈利能力稳步提升
Haitong Securities International· 2025-11-11 07:23
Investment Rating - Maintain "Outperform" rating with a target price of 74.78 RMB, reflecting a 10% upside from the current price [4][11]. Core Insights - The innovative drug industry is rebounding, leading to strong company performance with a revenue increase of 32.26% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 613 million RMB, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 132 million RMB, up 58.61% [4][11]. - The company has seen rapid quarterly revenue growth, with Q3 2025 revenue at 226 million RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 37.50% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.32% [12]. - Increased R&D investment has diversified the product range, with nearly 60 GMP-grade products developed for CGT drug CMC, commercialization, and clinical research [13]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2023A to 2027E are as follows: 544 million RMB (2023A), 645 million RMB (2024A), 840 million RMB (2025E), 1,074 million RMB (2026E), and 1,366 million RMB (2027E), with growth rates of 14.6%, 18.6%, 30.2%, 27.8%, and 27.2% respectively [3]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from 154 million RMB in 2023A to 354 million RMB in 2027E, with a significant increase of 53.9% in 2025E [3]. - The company’s EPS is forecasted to be 0.92 RMB (2023A), 0.74 RMB (2024A), 1.14 RMB (2025E), 1.53 RMB (2026E), and 2.11 RMB (2027E) [3][4]. R&D and Product Development - The company has developed a series of recombinant proteins and antibodies for CAR-T product development, enhancing its capabilities in the CGT field [12][13]. - In the ADC field, the company offers a range of high-quality products, including target proteins and enzymes for linker cleavage, which are essential for ADC PK research [13].