► 深耕铝合金精密压铸 新能源浪潮驱动向上 爱柯迪是国内领先的汽车铝合金精密压铸件专业供应商，传统产品为转向、雨刮系统等汽车铝压铸小件产品，逐步向新能源汽车三电系统、结构件等中大型压铸件 产品拓展。公司近五年业绩稳健增长，2019-2024年营业收入CAGR为17.0%，归母净利润CAGR达到13.5%；结构上：公司2022 年新能源汽车产品收入占比约 为 20%，2025/2030年新能源汽车产品收入占比目标分别为30%/70%。 ► 电动智能化驱动汽车轻量化行业扩容 头部企业有望强者恒强 行业空间 ：我们测算2023年国内车用铝合金市场规模约为1,828.5亿，预计2030年将达3,341.1亿元，2023-2030年CAGR超9.0%，其中压铸工艺约占近八成比 例； 分部位 ：底盘、车身等部位铝材渗透潜力大，预计2030年国内电车底盘/车身铝材渗透率将达到94.0%/14.0%，较2018年提升68.0/6.0pcts； 格局端 ：国 内铝压铸竞争格局较为分散，2023年CR5市占率合计约为11.9%，预计龙头企业有望凭借技术/规模等优势提升市场份额。 ► 精益管理能力突出 有望复刻至中大型压铸件业务 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading supplier of automotive aluminum precision die-casting parts in China, with a focus on expanding into the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector. The revenue from NEV products is expected to grow significantly, targeting 30% by 2025 and 70% by 2030 [1][27]. - The aluminum alloy market for automotive applications in China is projected to grow from approximately 182.85 billion in 2023 to 334.11 billion by 2030, with a CAGR exceeding 9% [2]. - The company has a strong management capability and aims to replicate its success in small die-casting parts to larger components, opening new growth opportunities [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has shown steady growth over the past five years, with a CAGR of 17% in revenue and 13.5% in net profit from 2019 to 2024. The traditional product line includes small die-casting parts for steering and wiper systems, while expanding into larger components for NEVs [1][19]. Industry Analysis - The automotive lightweighting trend driven by electrification is expected to expand the aluminum die-casting market. The penetration rates for aluminum in vehicle chassis and body are projected to reach 94% and 14% respectively by 2030 [2][46]. - The competitive landscape in the aluminum die-casting industry is fragmented, with the top five companies holding a combined market share of only 11.9% in 2023, indicating potential for leading firms to gain market share through technological and scale advantages [2][61]. Competitive Advantages - The company has a robust management system that has historically led to high product value and profitability. The transition to larger die-casting parts is expected to leverage this management expertise, creating new growth avenues [3][4]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to see revenue growth from 82.6 billion in 2025 to 118.4 billion in 2027, with net profits projected to rise from 11.8 billion to 18.05 billion in the same period. The estimated EPS for these years is 1.20, 1.53, and 1.83 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 12, 9, and 8 [5][6].