Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan indicates that the second-hand ship price index continues to rise, while new ship prices remain under pressure [1] Group 1: Second-Hand Ship Prices - The second-hand ship price index reached 189.90 points in November, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.12% and a month-on-month increase of 0.88% [1] - Prices for five-year and ten-year old second-hand ships increased by 0.50% and 0.71% month-on-month, respectively [1] Group 2: New Ship Prices - The global new ship price index was 184.33 points in November, showing a year-on-year decrease of 2.56% and a month-on-month decrease of 0.29% [1] - New ship prices for oil tankers and bulk carriers saw slight month-on-month increases of 0.33% and 0.26%, while container ships and gas carriers experienced declines of 0.51% and 0.26% [1] Group 3: Global Order Trends - From January to November, the total value of new global orders was $146.668 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 31.33% [2] - The new order and delivery tonnage from China decreased by 47.19% and increased by 2.13% year-on-year, respectively, with corresponding global market shares of 59% and 51% [2] Group 4: Green Ship Technology - The first domestically produced large mobile rotary sail was delivered, expected to reduce fuel consumption by approximately 10% and cut CO2 emissions by over 1,500 tons annually [4] - The first retrofit project for a rotary sail was successfully completed, marking a significant step into the high-end green ship retrofit market [4] - A new type of rotary sail developed by Shanghai Shipbuilding Equipment Research Institute received recognition from the French classification society, with fuel-saving effects ranging from 5% to 25% [4] Group 5: Cost Trends - The comprehensive price index for Chinese steel was 91.95 points, showing a year-on-year decrease of 4.79% but a month-on-month increase of 0.48% [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The second-hand ship prices continue to rise, while new ship prices remain under pressure. The global new ship price index in November is 184.33 points, a year-on-year decrease of 2.56% and a month-on-month decrease of 0.29%. In contrast, the second-hand ship price index is 189.90 points, showing a year-on-year increase of 7.12% and a month-on-month increase of 0.88% [6] - The demand structure in the industry is diversifying, with leading shipbuilding companies signing large new ship orders. Energy-saving technologies, such as the cylindrical sail, are being implemented and recognized by classification societies, accelerating the progress of green shipbuilding and retrofitting [3][6] Summary by Sections Monthly Tracking - The second-hand ship prices are on an upward trend, while new ship prices are under pressure. The new ship price index has seen a slight recovery in certain categories, while the overall demand for new orders has decreased significantly [6] Investment Highlights - A new shipbuilding project cooperation agreement was signed between China Shipbuilding Group and China COSCO Shipping Group, involving 87 vessels with a contract value of approximately 50 billion RMB [6] - The first domestically produced large mobile cylindrical sail has been delivered, expected to reduce fuel consumption by about 10% and cut carbon dioxide emissions by over 1,500 tons annually [6] - The first retrofit project for a cylindrical sail has been successfully completed, marking an entry into the high-end retrofitting market for green ships [6]