Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan indicates that the second-hand ship price index continues to rise, while new ship prices remain under pressure [1] Group 1: Second-Hand Ship Prices - The second-hand ship price index reached 189.90 points in November, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.12% and a month-on-month increase of 0.88% [1] - Prices for five-year and ten-year old second-hand ships increased by 0.50% and 0.71% month-on-month, respectively [1] Group 2: New Ship Prices - The global new ship price index was 184.33 points in November, showing a year-on-year decrease of 2.56% and a month-on-month decrease of 0.29% [1] - New ship prices for oil tankers and bulk carriers saw slight month-on-month increases of 0.33% and 0.26%, while container ships and gas carriers experienced declines of 0.51% and 0.26% [1] Group 3: Global Order Trends - From January to November, the total value of new global orders was $146.668 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 31.33% [2] - The new order and delivery tonnage from China decreased by 47.19% and increased by 2.13% year-on-year, respectively, with corresponding global market shares of 59% and 51% [2] Group 4: Green Ship Technology - The first domestically produced large mobile rotary sail was delivered, expected to reduce fuel consumption by approximately 10% and cut CO2 emissions by over 1,500 tons annually [4] - The first retrofit project for a rotary sail was successfully completed, marking a significant step into the high-end green ship retrofit market [4] - A new type of rotary sail developed by Shanghai Shipbuilding Equipment Research Institute received recognition from the French classification society, with fuel-saving effects ranging from 5% to 25% [4] Group 5: Cost Trends - The comprehensive price index for Chinese steel was 91.95 points, showing a year-on-year decrease of 4.79% but a month-on-month increase of 0.48% [2]

股票研究 /[2025.12.15 Table_Date] [Table_Industry] 机械制造业 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 船舶月度跟踪：11 月 二手船价格延续上 行趋势，手持订单高位运行，绿色船舶技 术加快落地 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 肖群稀(分析师) | 0755-23976830 | xiaoqunxi@gtht.com | S0880522120001 | | | 丁嘉一(分析师) | 021-23187266 | dingjiayi@gtht.com | S0880525080009 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 | 本报告导读： 二手船价格持续上行，行业需求结构分化。头部船企集中签署大额新造船订单，旋 筒风帆等节能技术实现实船交付并获船级社认可，绿色船舶新造与改装进展加快。 投资要点： 机械制造业《首个破十亿大项目采购计划发布， 星能玄光完成 Pre-A 轮融资》2025.11.17 机械制造业《特斯拉 Optimus 将建美国产线 ...

Core Insights - China COSCO Shipping Group's subsidiary, COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation Co., Ltd., announced the signing of contracts for the construction of 19 vessels with a total contract price of RMB 7.88198 billion, with total investment including capitalized costs around RMB 8.124 billion [1][8] - In a week, COSCO Shipping Group and its subsidiaries ordered a total of 106 new ships, all to be built by Chinese shipyards, with a significant order of 87 vessels worth over RMB 50 billion signed with China Shipbuilding Group [1][8] Summary by Category Contract Details - COSCO Shipping Heavy Industry's subsidiaries received orders for various types of vessels, including 10 new ships from Dalian COSCO Shipping Heavy Industry Co., Ltd., 4 new ships from Yangzhou COSCO Shipping Heavy Industry Co., Ltd., and 5 new ships from Guangdong COSCO Shipping Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. [3][11] - Specific contracts include one 9,000 cubic meter LNG dual-fuel ethylene carrier priced at RMB 327.98 million, two LR I product/oil tankers at RMB 912 million each, three MR product/oil tankers at RMB 1.047 billion each, and four MR crude oil tankers at RMB 1.37 billion each [3][11] Environmental and Operational Strategy - The new vessels will utilize clean energy systems such as LNG and methanol dual-fuel, aligning with global shipping decarbonization trends and enhancing the competitiveness of the vessels throughout their lifecycle [4][12] - The addition of new shipping capacity aims to improve the operational flexibility and efficiency of COSCO Shipping Group's fleet, thereby solidifying market share and sustainable profitability [4][12] Broader Industry Context - The 87 new ship projects signed with China Shipbuilding Group involve multiple subsidiaries and include various vessel types such as ultra-large container ships, bulk carriers, and oil tankers, indicating a robust demand in the shipbuilding sector [4][13]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Haixia Co., announced plans to invest in the construction of two new roll-on/roll-off passenger ships to replace aging vessels [1] Company Summary - Haixia Co. is taking proactive steps to modernize its fleet by investing in new ships [1] - The decision to replace old vessels indicates a commitment to improving operational efficiency and service quality [1] Industry Summary - The investment in new passenger ships reflects a broader trend in the maritime industry towards fleet modernization [1] - Upgrading to newer vessels may enhance competitiveness in the passenger transport sector [1]

Core Insights - China's shipbuilding industry has maintained its position as the world's largest for 15 consecutive years, with significant growth in high-value ship deliveries and a dominant market share in various ship types [4][19][21]. Group 1: Shipbuilding Contracts and Deliveries - Grimaldi Group, a major global shipping company, has signed contracts for 9 new ships with China Merchants Industry Group, indicating strong international trust in China's shipbuilding capabilities [1][14]. - The first of the new ships is scheduled for delivery in 2028, with the last expected by 2030, showcasing China's rapid shipbuilding speed and innovative designs [14][19]. - China has delivered over 30 roll-on/roll-off ships to Grimaldi, highlighting a long-term partnership in shipping and logistics [17]. Group 2: Market Position and Competitiveness - China's shipbuilding industry holds 55.7% of the global shipbuilding completion volume, 74.1% of new orders, and 63.1% of the hand-held order volume, reinforcing its leading position [19][21]. - The country has a significant advantage in various ship types, with 14 out of 18 major ship types being built in China, while South Korea and Japan struggle to compete [21][25]. - South Korea's shipbuilding market share has declined to below 20%, particularly in high-value ship segments, while Japan's market share has dropped to 17% [28][38]. Group 3: Technological Advancements and Environmental Initiatives - New ships being constructed in China utilize advanced green technologies, reducing carbon emissions by 43% during operation and relying on electric power for port operations [12][14]. - The propulsion systems of new vessels will use methanol instead of traditional fuels, indicating a shift towards sustainable energy solutions in shipbuilding [16]. Group 4: Future Outlook - As long as global shipowners continue to trust China's shipbuilding industry, the sector is expected to experience further growth and innovation [19][42]. - The ongoing increase in orders will enable shipyards to maintain substantial business and revenue, fostering a positive cycle of development and technological advancement [40][42].