周三（9月17日）汇市简况：英镑兑美元今日呈现震荡下行走势；美元兑日元今日呈现先抑后扬的态 势；欧元兑美元呈现出空头略占优势但市场多空力量较为胶着的格局；美元兑瑞郎呈现出多空力量较为 胶着但有转向多头的可能性；澳元兑美元短期均线显示空头占优；美元兑加元当前处于多空力量相对胶 着的状态；美元指数整体呈现出先扬后抑、最终微涨的态势。日内晚间关注22:30加拿大央行行长麦克 勒姆召开新闻发布会。 3.美联储：斯蒂芬·米兰在联邦公开市场委员会会议前宣誓就任美联储理事。 4.美国财长贝森特：如果特朗普总统认为通胀是一个问题，他会愿意接受加息。 5.美国白宫国家经济委员会主任哈塞特：预计经济增长率将高于3%。10年期国债收益率已大幅下降。 6.富国银行投资研究所：将2025年美国GDP增长预测上调至2%，此前为1.3%。 主要非美货币： 1.欧元兑美元刷新2021年9月以来新高至1.1878。 2.欧洲央行管委艾斯克里瓦：不确定性挥之不去，欧洲央行必须保持灵活性。 今日汇市要闻盘点： 美元： 1.特朗普政府将就法院对美联储理事丽莎·库克的裁决提出上诉。 2.美联储传声筒：鲍威尔本周对就业市场的态度或指明未来政策方向。 1 ...

Core Insights - The global payment currency ranking for March shows that the US dollar remains dominant with a share of 49.08%, followed by the euro at 21.93% and the British pound at 6.64% [1][2][3] Group 1: Global Payment Currency Rankings - The top three currencies in international payments are the US dollar (49.08%), euro (21.93%), and British pound (6.64%) [2] - The Chinese yuan ranks fourth with a share of 4.13%, followed by the Japanese yen at 3.87% and the Canadian dollar at 2.82% [2][3] - The top ten currencies account for a combined share of 94.23%, indicating a high concentration in international payment currencies [3] Group 2: Cross-Border Trade Payment Rankings - In cross-border trade payments, the US dollar holds a market share of 81.08%, with the Chinese yuan at 7.38% and the euro at 6.23% [4] - The top three currencies in this category account for 94.69%, showcasing an even more pronounced concentration effect compared to overall international payments [4] Group 3: Future Outlook for the Chinese Yuan - The Chinese yuan's market share in global cross-border trade finance has surpassed 7% for the first time, with expectations to reach 10% within one to two years [5] - The potential impact of US trade policies under Trump on the yuan's market share is highlighted, suggesting that these policies could either hinder or facilitate the yuan's growth [5][6] Group 4: Implications of US Trade Policies - Trump's trade policies, including high tariffs, are seen as potentially undermining the dollar's foundational role in global trade [6][9] - The expectation is that countries may be pressured to reduce their reliance on the dollar, which could lead to a decrease in its market share [6][10] Group 5: Economic Dynamics of Currency Production - The cost of producing currency is significantly lower than that of manufacturing goods, leading to a high profit margin for currency creation [12] - The dynamics of currency production versus goods manufacturing suggest that the US may face challenges in maintaining dollar dominance if it restricts dollar outflows [12][14]