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国恩股份(002768):产销提升叠加负商誉并入,24年利润同比高增,费用端扰动,25Q1业绩基本符合预期
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-04-28 01:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" [1] Core Views - The company is expected to see significant profit growth in 2024, with a projected net profit of 676 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 45.2% [5] - The company plans to initiate a listing process on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global strategic layout [5] - The company has experienced a decline in profit margins despite an increase in sales volume for modified plastics and composite materials [5] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 19.22 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.2% [4] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 706 million yuan, with an expected growth rate of 4.4% [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 2.60 yuan for 2025, 3.45 yuan for 2026, and 3.94 yuan for 2027 [5][4] Sales Performance - In 2024, the company achieved sales of 1.0632 million tons of organic polymer modified materials, a year-on-year increase of 7% [5] - The sales volume of organic polymer composite materials reached 349,600 tons in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 23% [5] - The company has made advancements in the development of composite materials for the new energy sector, including breakthroughs in lightweight materials for eVTOL structures [5] Strategic Acquisitions - The company acquired 99.99% of Hong Kong Petrochemical and 67% of Guoen Dongming, enhancing its integrated advantages in the industry [5] - The acquisition of these assets is expected to significantly contribute to the company's production capacity and revenue growth in the future [5] Health Industry Performance - The health sector subsidiary, Dongbao Biological, reported a net profit of 86 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 28% year-on-year due to price reductions in downstream pharmaceuticals [5] - The company is expanding its production capacity in the health sector, with plans to increase capsule production significantly [5]