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肇民科技首次覆盖报告:精密注塑隐形冠军,平台化延展加速机器人布局
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-06-10 13:20
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative performance increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [43]. Core Insights - The company specializes in precision injection molding, focusing on high-precision, high-quality, and high-value-added core functional components, primarily serving the automotive and home appliance sectors, while also expanding into humanoid robots and low-altitude economy applications [5][10]. - The company benefits from the lightweight development trend in the automotive industry, particularly in the production of precision injection molded structural components for new energy vehicles, which helps reduce weight, energy consumption, and noise [5][6]. - The company has established strong relationships with key Tier 1 clients, including major players in the automotive sector, which contributes to its high profitability, with automotive business gross margins consistently above 30% [5][6][23]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has developed a dual business structure focusing on precision injection molding for home appliances and automotive applications, with the automotive segment's revenue share increasing from 45.62% in 2018 to an expected 77.41% in 2024 [10][11]. Technical, Capacity, and Client Advantages - The company has a strong technical foundation in precision injection molding, with capabilities in independent mold design and manufacturing, as well as the development of specialty engineering plastics [6][25]. - The company is expanding its domestic production capacity and has established a global presence, including acquisitions in Mexico and Singapore to meet the growing demand in the North American market [30][31]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 9.6 billion, 12.4 billion, and 16.2 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 27%, 29%, and 31% respectively [7][39]. - The company's net profit is expected to reach 1.9 billion, 2.4 billion, and 3.2 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 31%, 31%, and 33% [7][39]. - The report highlights the company's competitive valuation, with projected P/E ratios of 60X, 46X, and 35X for 2025-2027, indicating strong growth potential driven by new energy vehicle production and expansion into humanoid robotics [37][39].