Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Viewpoints - The company plans to grant shares to no more than 250 individuals, including directors, supervisors, senior management, and core technical/business personnel, with a total of up to 100 million shares (approximately 7.48% of total share capital) [2][4] - The employee stock ownership plan will have a reserved stock of no more than 19.70% of the total shares granted [2][4] - The funding sources for the plan include employee self-funding and loans from major shareholders, with stock sourced from the company's repurchased shares [2][4] - The company aims for a total paper product sales volume of no less than 4.7 million tons by 2025, with the plan's duration not exceeding 120 months and a lock-up period of 12 months [2][4] Industry Analysis - The "anti-involution" trend in the industry is expected to catalyze profitability elasticity for white cardboard paper [5] - The total inventory in the paper industry chain increased in Q2 2025, indicating that the industry is still at a low point in the cycle [5] - The industry is anticipated to enter an upward cycle as new capacity growth slows down from 2026, with expectations for commodity prices to return to healthier levels [5] - The current paper prices and profitability are at historical lows, with expectations for gradual profit elasticity release alongside consumption recovery [5] Company Analysis - The company is expected to maintain stable growth in production and sales, although profitability is currently under pressure [6] - In Q2 2025, profitability is expected to decline due to the traditional off-season for packaging paper, with white cardboard prices decreasing by approximately 200 yuan/ton from March to June [6] - The company anticipates a recovery in profitability as the packaging paper sales season begins in Q3 2025 [6] - The company is focusing on developing differentiated products and expects rapid growth in overseas sales, with export revenue significantly increasing to 16% [7] - Historical valuation indicates that the company's price-to-book (PB) ratio is currently below 1.0, suggesting potential for valuation recovery [7] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 230 million, 380 million, and 510 million yuan, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 29, 18, and 13 [7]