三五知己，推杯换盏，两杯小酒既可以在餐桌上成为主角，成为调节气氛的利器；也能够让人暂时忘却 俗世的烦恼，获得短暂的愉悦。 对于拥有主场优势的白酒来说，这本来是自带buff的绝妙开局。但白酒行业自2021年开始年年跑输大盘 的疲软，似乎又证明了事情并不如想象中那么美妙。 白酒，"等待戈多" 在年初发布的2025年酒业市场走向预测中，中国酒业协会曾明确表示，"白酒头部领军企业稳步前行， 整体态势2025年优于2024年，酒业前景一片向好"。 本文来自微信公众号：新周刊 （ID：new-weekly），作者：梓晨，编辑：DR，头图来自：AI生成 中国人爱喝酒，也需要酒精的作用。 而现在，随着消费回归理性，原本就处于调整周期的白酒行业，也放下了年内向上反弹的期望。 然而，事实证明，行业"触底反弹"的前提是已经"见底"。 2025年5月，随着相关规定出台，贵州茅台、五粮液、泸州老窖等头部白酒企业股价集体下挫，单日跌 幅均超2%。 继消费面的挑战之后，白酒业再遭政策面的影响，关于行业的前景描述变成了"产业升级迫在眉睫"。 半年后，中国酒业协会发布的《2025中国白酒市场中期研究报告》显示，商务宴请在半年内的市场中占 比持 ...

本文来自微信公众号： 秦朔朋友圈 （ID：qspyq2015） ，作者：何菲，题图来自：AI生成 明显感觉到，我生活的时代，我生活的城市和这座城市的人，到处都在转型。 大约在千禧初年到2017、2018年左右，我们友人之间小酌多数是喝红酒，不管真懂还是假懂，总得 在饮上一口后，用风雅感性的词汇评价一番。为此我还浮光掠影地研究过几年红酒，写过不少相关文 章。 后来，红酒热潮渐渐退去，进入平台期，身边友人们小酌的风格偏好渐渐往白酒方向转化。 前几年某次友人小聚，我坐在中医药大学少壮派教授身边，他执意鼓励我喝点白酒，说是补气、抗病 毒。从此我小酌时的主流佐餐酒换成了白酒。记得那天还有友人往白酒壶里加了半壶蒜瓣，说是能杀 灭病毒。坊间也有"加了蒜片的光瓶玻汾，能喝出青花汾的味道来"的传说。 杯里乾坤大，壶中日月长。 世界六大蒸馏酒的诞生地都分布在北纬25～40度之间，中国的两大名酒带——川贵名酒带和江淮名 酒带，都处于这个地理位置。 有很多年，白酒一直延续高端化的宏大叙事，有"向天再借五百年"的气势，代言人都是影视剧里常常 出现的帝王将相，再低调也是千里江山、雄厚激荡的调性，白酒似乎是传统文化的集大成者。 那些年，飞 ...

Group 1 - The perception of Moutai's price floor is high among consumers, leading them to believe that prices will not drop below certain levels, such as 1500 yuan or 1000 yuan [1][4] - Many consumers purchase Moutai not for consumption but as a status symbol or investment, indicating its luxury brand status [3][5] - The demand for high-end liquor has significantly decreased due to changing consumption scenarios, particularly in business contexts, which has affected the overall market for premium liquor [5][12] Group 2 - The current market environment shows a lack of confidence in the future of high-end liquor, with excess production capacity and reduced consumer demand [6][12] - Liquor manufacturers face two potential strategies: controlling supply to stabilize prices or increasing market supply while lowering prices and quality [8][9] - Historical examples illustrate that many once-premium liquor brands have transitioned to lower-tier products, raising concerns about the long-term value of current high-end offerings [11][12] Group 3 - The recommendation for consumers is to assess their actual need for liquor rather than purchasing for speculative purposes, especially given the current market dynamics [12][13] - If Moutai's price were to drop significantly, it could lead to a shift in its perception as a premium product, impacting its use in high-end business settings [12][13]

晨会主题 【常规内容】 证券研究报告 | 2025年07月08日 | 晨会纪要 | | --- | | 数据日期:2025-07-07 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数（点） | 3473.12 | 10435.50 | 3965.17 | 11927.72 | 3000.59 | 978.29 | | 涨跌幅度（%） | 0.02 | -0.69 | -0.42 | -0.10 | -0.30 | -0.66 | | 成交金额（亿元） | 4761.97 | 7324.43 | 2251.06 | 2668.02 | 3465.09 | 175.19 | 行业与公司 汽车行业专题:人形机器人系列专题之新型减速器-摆线减速器有望成为 人形机器人新的迭代方向 机械行业周报:制造成长周报（第 21 期）-中央财经委员会提出推动海洋 经济发展，字节跳动 2 年半量产千台机器人 食品饮料周报（25 年第 27 周）：茅台价格趋稳，关注板块中报业绩表 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform the Market" [5][6]. Core Views - The report highlights that the liquor sector, particularly Moutai, is stabilizing in price, and attention should be paid to the second-quarter performance of the sector [3][12]. - The food and beverage sector saw a slight increase of 0.74% this week, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.67 percentage points [2][22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of consumer demand and market health, with companies focusing on destocking and promoting sales in the short term while nurturing consumer engagement and internationalization in the long term [14][21]. Summary by Sections Liquor Sector - Moutai's stock buyback reached 3.3821 million shares, accounting for 0.27% of total shares, with a total expenditure of 5.202 billion yuan [3][12]. - The liquor index increased by 1.2%, indicating a potential valuation recovery driven by incremental policies [14]. - Recommended stocks include Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Wuliangye, which have demonstrated resilience through multiple cycles [14][21]. Consumer Goods - The report notes that the recent warm weather is favorable for beer consumption, with expectations for slight sales growth among major beer brands [15]. - The snack sector is experiencing a trend of differentiation, with recommendations for companies that are innovating in products and channels [16][17]. - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the seasoning industry, such as Yihai International and Haitian Flavoring, as they show resilience [18]. Frozen Foods - The frozen food sector is stable, with companies actively developing new products despite the off-season [19]. - Anji Food's recent IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange raised 2.302 billion HKD, which will be used to enhance sales networks and optimize supply chains [19]. Dairy Products - The dairy sector is expected to see a gradual recovery in demand, with supply pressures easing and potential policy catalysts on the horizon [20]. - The report recommends focusing on leading dairy companies that are well-positioned for upward elasticity in 2025 [20]. Beverages - The beverage industry is entering a peak season, with expectations for continued growth in segments like sugar-free tea and energy drinks [21]. - The report recommends East Peak Beverage, which is accelerating its national and platform expansion [21].

Core Insights - The 618 shopping festival has concluded, leading to varied price movements in the white liquor market, with some products experiencing price increases while others continue to decline [1][2][3] Price Trends in Major Cities - In Guangzhou, among 21 sampled white liquor products, 9 saw a decrease in average retail price, while 8 experienced an increase, and 4 remained unchanged [2] - Notably, high-end products like Moutai and Guojiao 1573 have seen price drops, with Moutai's average retail price falling to approximately 2304 RMB, a decrease of about 100 RMB from the previous period [2][3] - In Shenzhen, Moutai's average retail price is reported at 2298.5 RMB, with a notable decline in several high-end products due to ongoing market pressures [7][10] - East Dongguan's market shows a mixed trend, with 9 products increasing in price and 5 decreasing, highlighting the volatility in high-end liquor pricing [12][13] Online vs. Offline Pricing - Online platforms, particularly instant retail channels, are showing lower prices compared to offline supermarkets, with Moutai priced at 2229 RMB online, which is about 75 RMB lower than the overall average [3][8] - The price discrepancies between online and offline channels are significant, with products like Junpin Xijiu and Qinghua Lang being sold for much lower prices online compared to their offline counterparts [3][8] Impact of Regulatory Changes - The ongoing "ban on alcohol" has significantly impacted sales, particularly in high-end segments, leading to price reductions as businesses attempt to stimulate demand [9][10] - The combination of the 618 festival and regulatory changes has created a challenging environment for liquor companies, as they navigate maintaining sales volume and pricing stability [1][17] Summary of Average Prices - The average prices for key products as of July 4th are as follows: - Moutai: 2367.62 RMB [19] - Wuliangye: 1010.27 RMB [19] - Junpin Xijiu: 833.17 RMB [20] - Qinghua Lang: 943.11 RMB [20] - Guojiao 1573: 993.42 RMB [20]

Core Insights - The opening of the Xinghuacun Restaurant at Beijing's Sanyuanqiao marks a significant step for the Fenjiu Group in deepening its market presence in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and embracing the cultural vitality of the capital [1][10] - The restaurant aims to provide an immersive experience that combines Shanxi cuisine with Fenjiu culture, enhancing the culinary landscape of Beijing [3][5] Company Strategy - The Beijing Sanyuanqiao store represents a brand upgrade for the Fenjiu Group, integrating elements of Fenjiu culture into its design and ambiance, showcasing the historical charm of the Shanxi region [5][10] - The restaurant's strategy includes a focus on experiential dining, merging traditional Shanxi dishes with modern culinary aesthetics, appealing to contemporary consumer preferences [6][10] Market Positioning - The restaurant is positioned as a cultural hub that not only serves food but also conveys the hospitality traditions of Shanxi, aiming to create a warm and inviting atmosphere for urban consumers [6][8] - The opening event was attended by notable figures from the culinary and cultural sectors, highlighting the restaurant's role in blending traditional Shanxi cuisine with modern cooking techniques, thus appealing to evolving consumer tastes [8][10] Future Outlook - The establishment of the Sanyuanqiao store is seen as a strategic move to expand the brand's reach from regional to national cultural dissemination, with plans for continued innovation in service and quality [10] - The restaurant aims to become a new cultural landmark in the Sanyuanqiao area, contributing unique Shanxi flavors to Beijing's culinary map [10]

新京报讯（首席记者郭铁）7月2日，汾酒集团旗下"杏花村酒家"北京首店开业，深化布局京津冀市场。 中国烹饪协会副会长、北京烹饪协会会长云程致辞称，杏花村酒家开到北京，为北京餐饮市场注入了新 的活力与内涵。晋菜在京发展可以用三个关键词概括，一是"传承与创新并进"。山西饮食文化底蕴深 厚，以"面食王国""醋都粮仓"闻名。杏花村酒家以"汾酒入馔、晋味为本"为特色，将传统山西菜与现代 烹饪技艺相结合，既保留了经典菜品的本真，又创新开发出符合当代健康理念的菜品。二是"文化赋能 与品质升级"。杏花村酒家开业，逢北京建设国际美食之都的关键阶段。当前，消费者对餐饮的需求已 从"饱腹需求"转向"品味需求"，从"单一风味"转向"文化体验"。杏花村酒家以"酒文化"为纽带，将杏花 村汾酒酿造技艺与山西菜结合，这种"美食+美酒+文化"的立体化经营模式，是北京餐饮市场未来的重 要趋势。三是"携手共促餐饮繁荣"。期待杏花村酒家北京三元桥店能以此次开业为契机，成为山西晋菜 在京发展的标杆，推动晋菜与其他菜系交流融合；通过美食展示山西非遗技艺和风土人情，助力首 都"美食之都"建设；同时与本地供应链、文旅产业合作，探索"餐饮+旅游"新模式。 据了 ...

齐鲁晚报·齐鲁壹点 孟广鑫 这个夏天，千年汾酒与酸甜的杨梅又将碰撞出怎样的舌尖盛宴？ 6月12日，2025"青花汾酒 梅好相汾"杨梅节开幕暨杨梅汾酒封藏仪式在"中国陶都"宜兴盛大举办。 当传统白酒的高度数、强社交属性与Z世代追求的轻社交、微醺感、悦己消费形成鲜明对比。汾酒以一场杨梅节，拉开"产品+文化+体验"的生态重构，为 行业提供年轻化破局样本。 汾酒杨梅节：一场与Z世代深度对话 2020年，汾酒杨梅节首次举办，如今已经走过6个年头。汾酒杨梅节也在不断升级与完善中，成为汾酒破圈的一大文化载体。 此次活动现场，两个萌态可掬的IP形象——"青花汾酒宝宝"与"杨梅宝宝"成为焦点。海报、钥匙扣、帆布包等周边产品，一度引起现场年轻群体与亲子家 庭的打卡热潮。 这一萌系设计打破了白酒厚重历史感的刻板印象，让百年品牌以"可亲近"姿态进入Z世代的社交语境。 在封藏仪式上，来自德国、摩洛哥、白俄罗斯等近十国的国际嘉宾成为活动的另一道风景线。 白俄罗斯博主苏小小与"德国的包子"等达人沉浸式体验杨梅采摘与汾酒浸酿全过程，他们通过短视频向全球展示这一东方酿艺，其在海外平台发布的视频 累计触达超200万国际用户。 "洋面孔讲中国酒" ...

快刀财经 . 欢迎关注这个洞察商业真相的公号。快刀财经，商业快媒体、思维孵化器、价值试验场和洗欲中心。 作者： 唐纳德 来源：快刀财经（ID：kuaidaocaijing） 喝不喝白酒没关系！但白酒行业确实日子不那么好过。 先看今年618， 白酒的价格那叫一个"跌跌不休" 。在各大电商平台的补贴"大招"下，茅台、五 粮液等头部产品的"百亿补贴"价，直接击穿了批发价。就拿53度飞天茅台来说，限时补贴后，到 手价最低能到1840元/瓶，跟去年同期比，那可跌了不少。 往远处一点的2025年端午节，济南某经销商望着店内琳琅满目的白酒货架，却丝毫感受不到节日 带来的喜悦，尽管白酒销量勉强与去年持平，客单价却暴跌近60%，且往年备受追捧的头部酒被 冷落，300-600元的产品却成了消费者首选。 "高端酒卖不动了，普通酒也不那么吃香"，这是一些经销商老板最典型的感叹。 往深处讲， 现象背后，透露出的是中国白酒产业的集体阵痛 ，作为资本市场和食品消费领域的 一块核心资产，白酒尤其是高端白酒一度被赋予消费和收藏属性。 以下文章来源于快刀财经 ，作者快刀财经编辑部 然而，近年来白酒行业在宏观经济放缓和产业周期调整的双重背景下，迎 ...