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公募基金泛固收指数跟踪周报(2025.10.13-2025.10.17):外部扰动不断,债市震荡修复-20251020
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-10-20 10:59
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week (Oct 13 - Oct 17, 2025), the bond market sentiment warmed up with yields oscillating and recovering. The stock market's decline and the central bank's loose liquidity pushed the ultra - long - end bonds to rebound and lead the market. The short - term bond market's allocation cost - performance improved, and it may continue a mild oscillating pattern [3][10]. - The continuous decline of bond yields needs further observation, affected by factors such as the "15th Five - Year Plan" policy signals from the Fourth Plenary Session, the possibility of monetary policy easing (e.g., interest rate cuts), and the results of Sino - US trade negotiations [10]. - Last week, the US Treasury yields declined. The 10 - year US Treasury yield once fell below 4.0% and then rebounded above 4.0% due to improved market sentiment [10]. - Last week, the CSI REITs Total Return Index declined by 1.44%. Various types of REITs generally fell, but there were new developments in the primary market [11]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Weekly Market Observation 3.1.1 Pan - Fixed - Income Market Review and Observation - **Domestic Bond Market**: From Oct 13 to Oct 17, 2025, the 1 - year Treasury yield rose 5.93BP to 1.44%, the 10 - year yield dropped 1.4BP to 1.82%, and the 30 - year yield dropped 7BP to 2.20%. The short - term bond market may maintain a mild oscillating pattern, and the continuous decline of yields needs further observation [10]. - **US Bond Market**: From Oct 13 to Oct 17, 2025, the 1 - year US Treasury yield dropped 4BP to 3.56%, the 2 - year yield dropped 6BP to 3.46%, and the 10 - year yield dropped 3BP to 4.02%. The 10 - year yield once fell below 4.0% and then rebounded [10]. - **REITs Market**: From Oct 13 to Oct 17, 2025, the CSI REITs Total Return Index declined 1.44% to 1043.46 points. There were 3 new first - issue REITs and 2 new expansion - offering REITs in the primary market [11]. 3.1.2 Public Fund Market Dynamics - On Oct 14, 2025, the CITIC Construction Investment Shenyang International Software Park Closed - end Infrastructure Securities Investment Fund completed its fundraising, becoming the first successfully issued public REITs project in Northeast China [3][12]. 3.2 Pan - Fixed - Income Fund Index Performance Tracking | Index Classification | Last Week's Return | Since Inception Return | | --- | --- | --- | | Money Enhancement Index | 0.03% | 4.19% | | Short - Term Bond Fund Preferred Index | 0.05% | 4.32% | | Medium - and Long - Term Bond Fund Preferred Index | 0.16% | 6.23% | | Low - Volatility Fixed - Income + Fund Preferred Index | - 0.06% | 3.93% | | Medium - Volatility Fixed - Income + Fund Preferred Index | - 0.85% | 4.69% | | High - Volatility Fixed - Income + Fund Preferred Index | - 1.00% | 6.70% | | Convertible Bond Fund Preferred Index | - 2.61% | 19.80% | | QDII Bond Fund Preferred Index | 0.18% | 10.57% | | REITs Fund Preferred Index | - 2.43% | 31.01% | [4][5][13] 3.2.1 Money Enhancement Index Tracking - **Money Enhancement Strategy Index**: Aims at liquidity management, pursues a curve surpassing money funds. It mainly allocates money market funds and inter - bank certificate of deposit index funds. The performance benchmark is the CSI Money Fund Index [14]. 3.2.2 Pure Bond Index Tracking - **Short - Term Bond Fund Preferred Index**: Aims at liquidity management, pursues a smooth curve while controlling drawdowns. It mainly configures 5 funds with stable long - term returns, strict drawdown control, and significant absolute return capabilities. The performance benchmark is 50% * Short - Term Pure Bond Fund Index + 50% * Ordinary Money Fund Index [18]. - **Medium - and Long - Term Bond Fund Preferred Index**: Invests in medium - and long - term pure bond funds, pursues stable returns while controlling drawdowns. It selects 5 funds each period, adjusting duration and the ratio of credit bond funds and interest - rate bond funds according to the market [18]. 3.2.3 Fixed - Income + Index Tracking - **Low - Volatility Fixed - Income + Preferred Index**: The equity center is 10%, with 10 funds selected each period. It focuses on funds with an equity center within 15% in the past three years and recently. The performance benchmark is 10% CSI 800 Index + 90% ChinaBond New Composite Full - Price Index [22]. - **Medium - Volatility Fixed - Income + Preferred Index**: The equity center is 20%, with 5 funds selected each period. It selects funds with an equity center between 15% - 25% in the past three years and recently [23]. - **High - Volatility Fixed - Income + Preferred Index**: The equity center is 30%, with 5 funds selected each period. It selects funds with an equity center between 25% - 35% in the past three years and recently, focusing on bond - end stability and equity - end offensive capabilities [27]. 3.2.4 Convertible Bond Fund Preferred Index - Selects bond - type funds with an average convertible bond investment proportion of at least 60% in the latest period and at least 80% in the past four quarters. It constructs an evaluation system from multiple dimensions and selects 5 funds to form the index [30]. 3.2.5 QDII Bond Fund Preferred Index Tracking - The underlying assets are overseas bonds. It selects 6 funds with stable returns and good risk control according to credit and duration [32]. 3.2.6 REITs Fund Preferred Index Tracking - The underlying assets are mainly high - quality and stable infrastructure projects. It selects 10 funds with stable operations, reasonable valuations, and certain elasticity according to the type of underlying assets [33].
【公募基金】外部扰动不断,债市震荡修复——公募基金泛固收指数跟踪周报(2025.10.13-2025.10.17)
华宝财富魔方· 2025-10-20 09:17
Market Overview - The bond market sentiment improved last week (2025.10.13-2025.10.17), with yields fluctuating. The 1-year government bond yield rose by 5.93 basis points to 1.44%, while the 10-year yield fell by 1.4 basis points to 1.82%, and the 30-year yield decreased by 7 basis points to 2.20%. The overall weak stock market and the central bank's release of liquidity contributed to the rebound of long-term bonds, leading the bond market [3][14]. - The U.S. Treasury yields also declined last week, with the 1-year yield down by 4 basis points to 3.56%, the 2-year yield down by 6 basis points to 3.46%, and the 10-year yield down by 3 basis points to 4.02%. The decline was influenced by dovish comments from the Federal Reserve Chairman and concerns about the U.S. regional banking system [14]. Public Fund Market Dynamics - On October 14, the CITIC Construction Investment Shenyang International Software Park closed-end infrastructure securities investment fund (referred to as "Shenyang International Software Park REIT") successfully completed its fundraising, marking the first public REIT project successfully issued in Northeast China. The initial assets of the Shenyang International Software Park REIT consist of 13 industrial buildings in Shenyang, with a total property area of 201,200 square meters, primarily focused on research and development office space [17][16]. Fund Index Performance Tracking - The Money Enhanced Index rose by 0.03% last week, with a cumulative return of 4.19% since inception [4][19]. - The Short-term Bond Fund Index increased by 0.05%, with a cumulative return of 4.32% since inception [5][19]. - The Medium to Long-term Bond Fund Index rose by 0.16%, with a cumulative return of 6.23% since inception [6][19]. - The Low Volatility Fixed Income + Fund Index fell by 0.06%, with a cumulative return of 3.93% since inception [7][19]. - The Medium Volatility Fixed Income + Fund Index decreased by 0.85%, with a cumulative return of 4.69% since inception [8][19]. - The High Volatility Fixed Income + Fund Index dropped by 1.00%, with a cumulative return of 6.70% since inception [9][19]. - The Convertible Bond Fund Index fell by 2.61%, with a cumulative return of 19.80% since inception [10][19]. - The QDII Bond Fund Index rose by 0.18%, with a cumulative return of 10.57% since inception [11][19]. - The REITs Fund Index decreased by 2.43%, with a cumulative return of 31.01% since inception [12][19].